Keeping with our coverage of this afternoon’s events in Queensland – where forecasts are pointing to record demand – it looks as though another risk has emerged.
Whilst the QNI limit has temporarily been raised by 50MW, it may be the case of ‘one step forward two steps back’ with Tarong North Power Station currently running at around half availability with the rebid reason citing a ‘tube leak’. The screenshot below is from the Station Dashboard in our ez2view software and shows its availability drop from 420MW to 200MW at 12:30PM yesterday.
Dan is a Market Analyst, who joined Global-Roam in June 2013.
He departed (and returned) for a couple of brief stints overseas, before rejoining the team permanently in late 2019. Alongside his work at Global-Roam, he has undertaken short-term contract roles as an analyst and researcher in various areas of the energy sector. Dan graduated from the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland in 2024.
Hot on the heels of Monday evening’s volatility, the AEMO has forecast LOR3 Low Reserve Condition (i.e. load shedding) might be possible in QLD on Tuesday evening.
Whilst we’re waiting to see where ‘Market Demand’ lands for Friday 24th January 2025 (we might report that later), I was curious in terms of supply-side performance of units over the past 4 days in Queensland – including the extreme demand period of Wednesday 22nd January 2025…
AEMO’s MN120671 forecast LOR3 was published at 15:33 NEM time on Tuesday 19th November 2024 – so it’s worth noting that ~7 hours later, MN120698 was published – with a deeper forecast LOR3 highlighted.
Tube leak as in high pressure steam boiler tube? Or something less nasty?