The results of the recent MTPASA (Medium-Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy), published on 17 October 2023, led a declaration of low reserve conditions in Market Notice 110284.
forecast tight supply-demand balance
A short note to echo EnergyAustralia’s warnings (reported in the Australian) about possible coal supply issues for Mt Piper power station.
Yesterday, the NSW Government released both the Marsden Jacobs report (NSW Electricity Supply and Reliability Check Up) and the Government’s Response.
The 2023 ESOO contains some some reporting (and data) about one particular contingency plan … delaying retirement of existing thermal generators (with Eraring a case in point).
Apart from a distraction early this morning, I’ve invested some hours today in review of the 2023 ESOO. Here’s 7 initial observations that jumped out at me.
Here’s my view on whether Figure 2 should have preceded Figure 1 (with respect to projections of unserved energy … USE) in the 2023 ESOO.
AEMO notes that ‘Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge’ in the 2023 ESOO, released today (Thu 31st Aug 2023)
AEMO is currently forecasting LOR2 for South Australia next week.
Second post for this afternoon/evening following AEMO announcement to commence RERT Negotiations for this evening in NSW.
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.
QLD may be down 200MW of available generation with record demand currently being forecast for late this afternoon.
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
With the AEMO releasing the 2022 ESOO on Wednesday morning 31st August 2022 with the limited time I have available right now I’ve had a quick look, and in this article highlight some things that jumped out to me.
This morning (Tue 5th july 2022) AEMO announces it may see the need to trigger Reserve Trader this evening.
With Market Suspension possibly being lifted tomorrow morning, the flagging of forecast LOR3 in *very preliminary* ST PASA run for Thursday 30th June was of interest.