Brief details of IRPM through the day on Monday 20th November 2023
A short note (in conjunction with some analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4) about the narrow band of IRPM seen through the day on Monday 20th November 2023.
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Forecast NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ at ~32,250MW on Sunday 4th February 2024
A second article looking ahead to (forecasts about) Sunday 4th February 2024 ... where NEM-wide demand might reach the highest point in summer 2023-24 to date.
Sky-high IRPM in the middle of the day, Sunday 1st October 2023
A short note (in conjunction with some analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4) about the high level of IRPM seen on Sunday 1st October 2023.
Summer 2023-24 demand – high or low?
Inspired (or provoked) by Paul's earlier article noting 'NEM-wide demand has been quite low through summer 2023-24 (at least to date)', guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look at how aggregate consumption stacks up...
Current AEMO forecasts point to higher NEM-wide demand on Sunday 4th February 2024
A short article on Fri 2nd Feb 2024 looking forward to what's forecast for Sunday 4th Feb 2024.
(Belatedly noting that) Millmerran unit 1 came back online on Wed 31st January 2024
Millmerran 1 came back online Wednesday morning 31st January 2024, as per the outage schedule.
Tarong unit 2 back online, after forced outage because of tube leak (~1 week earlier than planned)
Tarong unit 2 came back online late Thursday evening 1st February 2024 ... a week earlier than noted in the outage schedule when it came offline.
NEM-wide demand has been quite low through summer 2023-24 (at least to date)
A short article looking back over 2 months of summer 2023-24 (to date) to what levels have been attained for NEMwide 'Market Demand'
Final report ‘Review of the Integrated System Plan’ for the Ministerial Council
Here’s a link to the final report 'Review of the ISP' from the Energy & Climate Change Ministerial Council back in January 2024.
2024 Consultation on Forecasting Accuracy Report Methodology
The methodology used to assess performance of AEMO's longer-term forecasts is under review via the consultation process.
Guest Authored Posts
Runway cost allocation – ready for liftoff?
Allan O'Neil unpacks a proposal under consideration by the AEMC to apply “runway” cost allocation to contingency FCAS, explaining how this could materially change who pays for frequency security in the NEM.
What the hail is happening with Brisbane’s weather?
Anthony Cornelius from WeatherWatch explains the climate drivers behind Southeast Queensland’s unusually intense 2025 hail season — context that matters for those tracking how extreme weather is evolving and influencing the energy market.
Detailed Analysis
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