One of our ez2view alerts (i.e. the one for ‘coal unit switches off’) configured in the ‘Notifications’ widget triggered at 19:31 (NEM time) on Wednesday evening 22nd January...
Given the very tight supply-demand balance in the QLD region on Wednesday 22nd January 2025 (both very low IRPM and also ‘Actual LOR2’) it’s worth a quick look...
So only seconds after(?) we’ve posted this third article, the AEMO publishes MN123594 at 18:43:09 noting 'Actual LOR2' in QLD on Wed 22nd Jan 2025.
Third article this evening (Wed 22nd Jan 2025) as the supply-demand balance in QLD tightens first with the sun setting (so disappearance of Solar PV injections, whilst Underlying...
Following from QLD's new all-time-maximum level of 'Market Demand' we take a quick look at actual levels, compared to AEMO's earlier (P30 predispatch) forecasts.
A first quick article (with a NEMwatch snapshot at 17:55) noting the new all-time-maximum level of 'Market Demand' in QLD on Wednesday afternoon/evening 22nd January 2025.
An ez2view snapshot on Wednesday afternoon 22nd January 2025 with an illustration of the ‘Q-BCCP_812’ constraint set.
Worth recording a snapshot from NEMwatch at 13:35 (NEM time) on Wednesday 22nd January 2025 with the NSW price up at $14,028.17/MWh.
For the second day in a row, on Wed 22nd Jan 2025 AEMO has notified about an error in the predispatch demand forecast process.
A short article as a record of ramping constraints bound with reference to network outages in South Australia (and Queensland) on Wednesday morning 22nd January 2025.
In his first guest authored article on WattClarity, Jack Fox reports some initial observations from a review of the Non Financial Obligation (NFO) data that's been published since
Declan Kelly thinks through and discusses competition issues that could arise from the increasing proliferation of auto-bidding software by big batteries in the NEM - and suggests some...
All too often people (including us sometimes, unfortunately) are quick to attribute some particular outcome to a single contributing factor. Almost always this is an over-simplification.
Highlighting the temptation to ascribe motivation to others - despite the fact that we understand that we can never know for sure.
A starting list of all the factors I would like to delve into, in order to perform an objective review of what happened last Thursday and Friday in...
Flagging the ongoing challenge of not extrapolating from recent performance to infer that "things" will always be that way.
One of the challenges in analysis is to even be conscious of the need to ascertain "what might have otherwise been".
A collection of articles speaking to some core analytical challenges. Others are categorised elsewhere – like my prior thoughts on three reasons why forecasting is a mug’s game.
Why are we investing significant time in completing this review of what was remarkable price volatility in QLD over summer? We're primarily a software company that develops shrink-wrapped...