Afternoon demand on Christmas Day as low as overnight demand as a result of several factors
Summer 2017-18 in the NEM
A quick review of a day when NSW demand was forecast to be high
Current forecasts at AEMO show NSW demand forecast to peak above 13,500MW (which would easily be the highest December demand in NSW since 2009).
AEMO forecasts NEM-wide demand to exceed 32,000MW tomorrow (Monday 18th December), which is far higher than seen in December 2016, and one reason for the LOR1 low reserve notices.
Demand in Victoria peaked lower than forecast today, but demand forecasts for NSW tomorrow are continuing to climb.
Hornsdale Power Reserve a.k.a “World’s biggest battery” achieves new milestones – discharged at a rate of 100MW and charged continuously for nearly 3 hours.
AEMO forecasts higher demand in Victoria (and South Australia) tomorrow with the hot weather – and a slight LOR1 warning.
With hot weather forecast for NSW this Thursday (especially in inland areas) it’s no surprise to see that the AEMO is forecasting higher demand on the day. Linked to this there is also a slight negative (local) surplus generation forecast.
AEMO has adjusted the formula (i.e. constraint equations) used to manage system strength in South Australia, which has been (since mid-2017) by constraining down the output of wind farms under certain conditions.
Queensland demand ramped up, after the sun had gone down Thursday evening, to pass 8000MW for the first time this summer
With Genex releasing an ASX announcement of first revenue at Kidston Solar Farm, we use NEMreview v7 to have a quick look.
It’s 1st December 2017 – the first day of summer, and also the promised delivery date for the “world’s largest battery”. In this updated post we look at how it’s been operating.
Some volatility with the hot weather on Wednesday 29th November – is this a precursor for summer?
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, follows up a post in September (reviewing what the AEMO’s ESOO was saying about summer 2017-18) with this review of updated data
Our guest author, Rob Davis, looks at what might emerge for summer 2017-18 given the La Nina outlook, and prior distributions of Cooling Degree Days for Victoria and South Australia
Some initial analysis by our guest author, Allan O’Neil, about what AEMO’s Statement of Opportunities 2017 is saying in terms of this coming summer 2017-18