We’ll explore ‘what’s changed?’ more in subsequent articles – but in this article just want to flag the Market Notice updates around 05:00 (NEM time) this morning with forecast load shedding for Monday and Tuesday next week growing more extreme …
On Tuesday morning 19th November 2024 the AEMO MN120612 warns of forecast Low Reserve Conditions for summer 2024-25 in both NSW and Victoria.
Guest author, Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides this summary of summer 2024 – covering price volatility, consolidation of the twin peaks dynamic, and BESS performance.
A short article (perhaps with others to follow?) recording a high NEM-wide demand evening on Sunday 4th February 2024.
As Saturday evening (27th Jan 2024), at 17:45 QLD ‘Market Demand’ reaches 10,210MW … and volatility starts.
A timely reminder from the BOM of why ‘Apparent Temperature’ can be significantly higher than ‘Actual Temperature’ … such as across QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (and also Mon 22nd Jan 2024).
The middle of the day Sunday (so ~30 hours before the point of interest) sees an opportunity to take an updated look at how extreme AEMO is forecasting Monday (22nd Jan) evening demand in QLD will be…
A third article (first on the day) looking at tight supply-demand balance in the QLD ‘Economic Island’ on Thursday 18th January 2024
A first article about forecast high temperatures (hence high demand, and also potentially LOR levels) for Queensland on Thursday 18th January 2024 … and also Fri 19th and Mon 22nd.
A quick PS to the earlier Sunday article (which looked at LYA4) this time focused on LYA1.
This article (Part 3) follows on from Part 1 and Part 2, which looked at four successive trip/outage at Loy Yang A4 in recent days.
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO’s P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
First article today, recording a new ‘lowest ever’ point for demand in Victoria (Sun 31st Dec 2023), and possible intervention from AEMO has it looks to drop further, leading to possible grid instability.
Taking a quick look back at two days of extreme levels of demand in Queensland during the ‘sleepy period’ between Xmas and New Year.
Some quick initial notes about the second day of remarkably high demand in QLD during the normally ‘sleepy’ period between Xmas and New Year (Fri 29th Dec 2023).
Second short article on Thursday evening 28th December 2023, looking forward to Friday evening 29th December 2023.
Noteworthy that in the sleepy period between Christmas and New Year the QLD region can exceed 9,500MW (fast approaching an all-time maximum) on the first day of a two-day state wide heatwave.
A strange coincidence with the AEMO ‘intending to commence’ negotiations about Reserve Trader for NSW – for this afternoon/evening.
A quick update into Thursday afternoon with forecast for this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023 in NSW
A late morning update on forecast conditions for NSW this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023