Brief Case Study of Sunday 4th February 2024, with low IRPM following high Market Demand
A quick look at the low point for NEM-wide IRPM on Sunday evening 4th February 2024.
GenInsights Quarterly Updates
Presentation to BofA Securities audience about Risk, Uncertainty and Volatility in the energy transition
Today we spoke to an audience organised by BofA Securities about Risk, Uncertainty and hence Volatility in the energy transition.
Case Study of inertia supplied by source in the NSW grid on Tuesday 14th November 2023
With GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q4 completed, and some time till the end of 2024 Q1, we’ve looked back at Tuesday 14th November 2023 (when AEMO had concerns about low System Strength in NSW) and looked at the level of inertia actually seen in the grid. A useful Case Study to say ‘what would have happened without Eraring?’
GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q4 released
A somewhat belated note about our release of GenInsights Quarterly Updates report for 2023 Q4 earlier in March 2024.
Case Study of Sunday 12th November 2023 (lowest point for Aggregate Scheduled Target in 2023)
A 2nd short article falling out of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4. This one looks at Sunday 12th November 2023 and shows the lowest point in 2023 for NEM-wide Aggregate Scheduled Target (and the largest ramp in Q4).
Case Study of Friday 8th Dec 2023 (big gyrations in Aggregate Scheduled Target)
A short article looking at Friday 8th December 2023 looking at NEM-wide Aggregate Scheduled Target on the day.
A long-range trend of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) across all Semi-Scheduled units
The second article today (falling out of analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q4) presenting a long-term trend of the incidence of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target across the growing number of Semi-Scheduled units operating in the NEM.
A 20-year trend of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) across 44 x coal units to 31st Dec 2023
A first article today (falling out of analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q4) presenting a long-term trend of the incidence of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target across the 44 x operational coal units currently operating in the NEM. A hypothesis as to the cause of recent changes, and some questions …
Consultation opens (and webinar next Friday) on Design Paper for ‘Capacity Investment Scheme’
On Thu 29th Feb 2024 (a day when NSW saw high demand, was stretched in terms of available capacity, and benefited from the electricity and other services provided by soon-to-close Eraring) the Dept of Energy in Canberra released a Design Paper on the expanded Capacity Investment Scheme. A very appropriate day for release …
A quick summary of aggregate yield from Large Solar on Tuesday 28th November 2023
A quick look back at Tuesday 28th November 2023, a day of lowest Large Solar yield through 2023 Q4.
Tuesday 31st October 2023 sees the only two instances (in Q4, and all year) of AggROT for Semi-Scheduled units < -500MW
Also from GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4, the particular case of Tuesday 31st October 2023 is also worth sharing (and a broad audience understanding).
Large instances of collective under-performance across all Semi-Scheduled units on Sunday 24th December 2023
Returning a focus to GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4, here’s a particular example from Sunday 24th December 2023 worth sharing (and a broad audience understanding).
Engie announces early closure of two dispatchable South Australian power stations
It was an article in the AFR, on the 6th of February 2024, that drew our attention back to generator closures. Engie have announced the early closure of Snuggery and Port Lincoln Power Stations.
Brief details of low % VRE on Thu 19th Oct 2023 (Case Study Part 1)
A short note (with GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4) about the low % VRE seen NEMwide on Thursday 19th October 2023.
Sky-high IRPM in the middle of the day, Sunday 1st October 2023
A short note (in conjunction with some analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4) about the high level of IRPM seen on Sunday 1st October 2023.
Case Study (Part 2) of Low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by site location.
Case Study – Severe Weather Challenges Day-Ahead Forecasts for 7, 8, 9 September 2023
A bout of severe weather for many parts of south-eastern Australia brought challenging weather conditions which appear to have impacted variable renewable energy forecasts for the NEM. The case study delves into forecast differences on the 7th, 8th and 9th of September 2023.
Rooftop Solar is crushing* the returns for Large-Scale VRE
Following the release of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3 we’ve chosen to share here one of the clear challenges for large-scale VRE that is emerging (particularly in 2023 Q3) due to the rise and rise of rooftop PV.
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q3 2023 released
A quick note to mark the the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q3 last week (and Executive Briefing to one of our subscribers today).
Case Study (part 1) of Aggregate Scheduled Target on Friday 8th September 2023
The first part of a Case Study looking at a large 5-minute ramp in ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’ in the middle of the day (an unusual time) on Friday 8th September 2023