AEMO’s QED for Q1 2023 + AER’s analogous report released
A short article to note that the AEMO released it’s QED for Q1 2023 this morning, and a list of the early media coverage.
Articles by Dan Lee
Dan Lee first started at Global-Roam in June 2013. He has departed (and returned) for a couple of stints overseas in that time, but rejoined our team permanently in late 2019.
More recently, Dan's focus has been on growing his understanding of the market and developing his analytical capabilities. He is currently enrolled in the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022… Part 4: the geographical spread of +861MW AggROT
In the fourth instalment of this ongoing case study, Dan Lee maps the locations and contributions of the semi-scheduled units that contributed to the +861MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target that occurred on the afternoon of October 27th 2022.
AEMC’s Reliability Panel releases 2021-22 FY Annual Market Performance Review
A short note to mark the Reliability Panel’s annual review of market performance which covers system reliability, security, and safety over the 2021-22 FY – which includes the June 2022 market suspension.
Brief (55 minute) Market Suspension on 17th March 2023 in NSW due to service interruption of SCADA systems
A just-announced AEMO market notice has declared a temporary suspension of the NSW market.
AEMO forecasts point towards a possible record total demand in QLD this afternoon on 17th March 2023
Following last night’s market volatility, QLD’s total demand is currently forecast to go beyond its highest recorded point.
2023 Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) from the AEMO identifies that southern Australia’s gas supply is declining faster than projected demand
A short article to note the AEMO’s release of the 2023 GSOO today and the subsequent media coverage.
Why capacity factor is an increasingly simplistic way to compare solar farm performance
Dan Lee explains why capacity factor could be becoming an increasingly less useful measure for comparing how different solar farms are performing and begins an exploration into some of the factors in play when trying to conduct more comprehensive analysis into generator performance.
Darwin to Dili: The contrasting challenges in Timor-Leste during an energy transition
Dan Lee provides this write-up of a recent study tour to Timor-Leste and reflects on lessons learned about how the transition is affecting developing nations.
Weather! The cause of.. and solution to.. all the electricity market’s problems?
Dan Lee tracks the demand forecasts against the actual outcome in QLD last Friday afternoon. The final result was as much as ∼1,000MW lower than the maximum forecast of demand published by the AEMO, which alludes to the inherent difficulty of electricity market forecasting.
Wind not blowing in Queensland this afternoon as demand begins to rise
With demand beginning to rise sharply output at Queensland’s four wind farms has been muted so far this afternoon.
RERT dispatched in QLD – at 17:30 on Friday 3rd February 2023
The RERT has been dispatched for 5:30PM this afternoon in Queensland
Availability at Tarong North Power Station almost halved as it nurses a tube leak
QLD may be down 200MW of available generation with record demand currently being forecast for late this afternoon.
Every extra little bit may help: 50MW temporarily added to QNI limit
An AEMO market notice from yesterday afternoon declares that an extra 50MW has been made available on the QNI interconnector.
Forecasts pointing to record demand and other risks in QLD for Friday afternoon.. but caveats aplenty
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
Examining the $112/MWh revenue that Genex’ Jemalong Solar Farm generated in Q4 2022
Dan Lee uses our hot-off-the-press GSD2022 to examine the Q4 revenue figures that Genex Power recently released for Jemalong Solar Farm.
AEMO releases Q4 2022 Quarterly Energy Dynamics (QED) report
A short note marking today’s release of the AEMO’s QED for Q4 2022 and the subsequent media coverage thus far.
South Australia’s Energy Minister triggers the Retailer Reliability Obligation (RRO) for SA in Q1 2026
A release from the AER states that SA’s Minister for Energy and Mining has triggered the RRO (and hence MLO) in South Australia for Q1 2026.
How common are islandings and transmission tower failures in the NEM?
In light of recent events, Dan Lee does some digging to find historical incidences of islandings and transmission tower failures.
Who drove FCAS on the island
Close to $31.5M of revenue was generated in the FCAS markets in SA over the seven days that the region was frequency separated from the rest of the NEM. This follow-on from Allan O’Neil’s earlier article investigates this final figure.
Brief but sudden drop of ~1,740 MW of wind and solar generation across the NEM this afternoon Monday 5th December 2022
An email alert notified me of a sudden drop in wind and solar generation (primarily in VIC and SA) at around 3pm this afternoon.