Via MN144315 AEMO says ‘Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) condition NOT declared in the SA Region on 22/06/2026’

Posted by Paul McArdleMonday 22nd June 2026  9:02 AM   Topic: 2026-06 a ~4 day Wind Lull (especially in South Australia) and Volatility, 2026-06-22

In a follow-on to the strangeness noted here with respect to a ‘LOR2 not declared’ the AEMO at 08:46 (NEM time) on Monday 22nd June 2026 has published this follow-on:

‘MN 144315   RESERVE NOTICE   22/06/2026 08:46:48 AM

PDPASA – Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) condition NOT declared in the SA Region on 22/06/2026

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

PDPASA indicates an LOR3 condition is forecast from 0800 hrs to 0830 hrs on 22/06/2026 in SA.

AEMO considers that the expected market response and intervention options available to AEMO mean that load shedding is unlikely. Therefore, AEMO is not declaring that an LOR3 forecast condition exists for this period.

AEMO will continue to monitor the reserve conditions and declare an LOR3 condition in subsequent PASA runs, if required.

The delay in issuing this market notice was associated with the intervention actions taken at the time.

Manager NEM Real Time Operations’

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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