AEMO’s forecasts for higher ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday evening 25th January 2024 don’t materialise

A very short article today with a single snapshot from ez2view (the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget time-travelled back to 22:00 on Thursday 25th January 2023 (NEM time) and focused on ‘Market Demand’ for the NSW region):

1)  Because it follows on our article ‘AEMO forecasts deep LOR2 in NSW on Thursday 25th January 2024’ looking ahead, from Tuesday morning 23rd Jan 2024;

2)  And also, in part, because one of our readers asked for it in the wash-up following Thu 25th Jan 2024:

2024-01-25-at-22-00-ez2view-ForecastConvergence-NSW-MarketDemand

Don’t have time to delve into any detail now, other than to flag that:

1)  ‘Looking up that vertical’ shows that there was a late (significant!) drop in demand in NSW that the earlier ST PASA and P30 predispatch forecasts did not suggest;

2)  Which I presume (though have not checked) was due to a cooler change;

3)  But which we might find time to follow up about in a subsequent article …


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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