TAS spot price at $15,100/MWh with near-record Market Demand … and NEM-wide IRPM hits a low of 4.33% Tuesday morning

Here’s a snapshot from NEMwatch at 08:15 this morning:

2022-06-14-at-08-15-NEMwatch-screenshot

There’s many things that could be highlighted in this snapshot, but I’ve particularly singled out the following:

1)  For the TAS region, with temperatures so low it’s understandable to see Market Demand’ at 1,733MW … which is well into the ‘red zone’ with reference to the historical all-time record of 1,781MW by that measure.

2)  This factor alone, and the general shortage NEM-wide, is driving TAS spot price to the $15,100/MWh Market Price Cap:

(a)  it’s been there consistently since 07:10

(b)  this is having the effect of rocketing up the Cumulative Price in TAS as well (the only reason not to have struck the CPT)

3)  On the broader supply-demand front, the NEM-wide IRPM is shown at 11% in the snapshot above:

(a)  Which is quite low

(b)  But (comparatively speaking) well above the level seen at 07:15 earlier today (a jaw-dropping 4.33%), as captured in this run of SMS alerts

2022-06-14-SMS-LowIRPM

Whilst we managed to sail through with no calamity and it’s on the way back up now, the reserve margins were wafer thin.


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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