Don’t have time to post more about this one today, but want to flag this as a place holder such that I can refer to it more directly from time to time – like with respect to the linked posts I’ll progressively add in here:
Prior to Sept 2017
There have been posts made in the past that reference this Analytical challenge.
When I have time to dig them up, I’ll link them in here for your reference – to highlight the diversity of when analysts need to be conscious of “what might have otherwise been”.
Mon 4th Sept 2017
Following some claims made in the SMH that pointedly implied that the establishment of the market was the root cause of the (much more recent) escalation in wholesale prices in the NEM, I posted this rebuttal (and I again apologise for the colourful language that’s still doing the rounds on social media).
These sort of arguments inevitably include a strong element of “what would otherwise have been” if [INSERT KEY CHANGE PROPONENT DOES NOT LIKE] had not happened.
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future ‘Ahead Market’. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader piece of work to feed into GenInsights21.
On Friday morning 29th July 2022 the AEMO is releasing its ‘Quarterly Energy Dynamics’ for Q2 2022 – I’ve flipped through an embargoed copy and have highlighted here eight different factors flagged by AEMO that have each contributed to the extreme price outcomes seen through Q2 2022. There are probably others noted as well….
On Tuesday 21st December 2021 the AER requested the AEMC to consider changing the prescriptive requirements in the Rules for the AER to analyse particular types of market outcomes in particular ways, and instead provide the AER more flexibility in what its analysis covers.
On Monday 31st October 2022 we released GenInsights Quarterly Updates for Q3 2022 – second in the expanding series, following customer requests for updates of GenInsights21
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