Forecast evening IRPM next week healthy … despite ‘ferocious Tasman Low’
A quick look at forecast ‘Market Demand’ and NEM-wide IRPM for next week … with Ben Domensino writing about a ‘Ferocious Tasman Low to hit southeast Australia next week’
Tamar Valley CCGT clocks over 5 weeks of almost continuous operation at full load in Winter 2024 … but hydro storages still not great
Five weeks on from the re-start of production at Tamar Valley CCGT, it’s still running (and water storage levels in TAS are still low).
Final figures for wind production through 2024 Q2
We’ve ticked over the end of 2024 Q2, so here’s a short note to recap the long-range wind production statistics.
AEMO directs load shedding (following unplanned network outages) in NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024
A short (perhaps initial) record of load shedding instructed for NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024.
Barron Gorge Power Station returns to service approximately six months after significant damage from Cyclone Jasper
CleanCo have announced the RTS of Barron Gorge Unit 1 and 2 after a ~6 month outage following significant damage from Cyclone Jasper.
Unusual wind direction to elevate wind power
Ashleigh Madden of Weatherzone reports on some unusual weather activity scheduled to impact QLD, NSW, and SA wind generation – stemming from a high pressure system moving towards the Tasman sea.
A bounce back: a review of Q2 2024 prices
We just witnessed another eventful Q2, with at least four drivers contributing to significant price volatility. This is our annual review of Q2 prices, where we compare these outcomes against the long-term trend.
ABC report that the highest air pressure ever recorded in Australia was observed this morning, and likely to peak again this Saturday
The ABC report that a notable weather record was broken in Tasmania this morning, and opens questions about future wind lulls and a changing climate.
First Bidirectional Units on 4th July 2024
Today, 4 July 2024, we see the first bidirectional units (BDUs) effective in Production in the Australian NEM (National Electricity Market). This new category of unit was created to improve integration of energy storage systems into the NEM. Changes to…
A running view of the recent wind drought
A view of cumulative total wind production in Q2, highlighting a lack of spatial resource diversity, and the future challenges for gas and long-duration storage.
A similar trended view of the aggregate production from Coal-Fired Generation across the NEM through 2024 Q2
Taking the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend recent Q2 periods (used for wind, hydro and gas-fired power), we now apply this to coal-fired generation during 2024 Q2.
AEMO releases the 2024 ISP
The release of the 2024 ISP is a key focal point in the energy transition. Released today, 26 June, we note the publication and media attention.
A similar trended view of the aggregate production from Gas-Fired Generation across the NEM through 2024 Q2
Taking the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend recent Q2 periods (used for wind and then hydro), we now apply this to gas-fired generation during 2024 Q2. We see two distinctly different patterns … early in Q2 and late in Q2.
CS Energy releases most recent draft of the ‘Brady Report’
CS Energy has released the latest draft of the ‘Brady Report’ – a draft Executive Summary, a draft Part A (Technical) and a draft Part B (Organisational)
Solar Farms in south-western NSW constrained to 0MW on Monday 24th June 2024
A quick look at the ‘N-DPWG_63_X5’ constraint set as a driver for the curtailment of solar (and other) units in south-western NSW on Monday 24th June 2024.
A similar trended view of the aggregate production from Hydro Discharge across the NEM through 2024 Q2
Taking the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend recent Q2 periods (first used for wind), we now apply this to hydro during 2024 Q2 to see to what extent hydro production volumes are lower than recent (and other notable) years.
Where’s the wind gone, through 2024 Q2? … with June perhaps even worse than April or May!
Extending the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend of wind production through 2024 Q2 (to 22nd June) and comparing to 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020 reveals a picture that is, at the same time, both frightening … but also completely expected (at least for some).
Forecast for a moderate burst of wind to round out the month or June 2024
A short article looking forward to AEMO’s forecast NEM-wide wind capability for the remainder of June 2024.
Trended bids (and production) from gas-fired generation over the past 90 days
A short article looking back 90 days at production volumes, and bid prices, from gas-fired generation.
Kogan Creek back online, late Friday 21st June 2024
Worth noting that on Friday evening 21st June 2024 Kogan Creek came back online, ~36 hours after it had come offline.