Volatile price period runs over 5 hours on 2 July 2025 in SA
If we had been in the previous financial year, the old CPT of $1,573,700 would have been tripped.
Eventful days in 2025
A catalogue of articles pertaining to eventful days in 2025
Evening spot prices less volatile than anticipated in SA on July 2, 2025
Spot price volatility occurs in SA on 2 July 2025, yet not to the level that risks exceeding the cumulative price threshold.
More than 40,000 customers without power in NSW on Wednesday 2nd July 2025 after wild weather overnight
Wild storms over night have impacted parts of the Ausgrid, Endeavour and Essential Energy distribution networks in NSW.
NSW records highest winter demand in fifteen years, whilst high prices eventuate in SA on Tuesday evening 1st July 2025
Cold winter conditions in NSW have pushed market demand in the region above 13GW this evening. Meanwhile, high prices have stuck around in SA.
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
East coast low brings challenging conditions for start of July in 2025
The weather forecasts are alerting to the formation of an East Coast Low this week. The low is expected to sit just off the eastern cost of Australia, adjacent New South Wales.
Evening volatility on Friday 27th June 2025
Another run of energy spot price volatility occurred on Friday 27th June 2025.
How low did it go? NEM-wide wind production in recent days
We've already noted the ‘New all-time record for NEM-wide wind, on Monday 23rd June 2025’. But how low did wind production drop, on Thursday 26th June 2025?
Past 3 hours of continuous volatility on Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Considering that it was 16:45 (NEM time) when volatility started it’s notable that we’re into our 4th hour of volatility now on Thursday evening 26th June 2025.
Evening volatility ongoing (Thursday 26th June 2025), with NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ above 31,000MW
A further update on the volatility and high demand seen on Thursday evening 26th June 2025.
Run of evening volatility starts early, on Thursday 26th June 2025
Here’s a NEMwatch snapshot at 16:50 (NEM time) on Thursday 26th June 2025 with the run of volatility in the southern regions already well underway.
Cold weather drives electricity ‘Market Demand’ higher (and higher than AEMO’s earlier forecasts)
I thought it would be worth adding a couple snapshots from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view looking at ‘Market Demand’ as at various dispatch intervals on Thursday 26th June 2025 looking backwards ~7...
Morning volatility in the southern regions – Thursday 26th June 2025
Here’s a snapshot from NEMwatch at 07:25 to record some morning volatility on Thursday 26th June 2025
Opaque Congestion and Hidden Curtailment … such as on Tue 24th June 2024 with the ‘N-DPWG_63_X5’ constraint set invoked
It was now just over 5 years ago when Marcelle wrote ‘Not as simple as it appears – estimating curtailment of renewable generation’. This week's invocation of the 'N-DPWG_63_X5' constraint set provides a great...
Another look at conditions in South Australia next week as a forecast LOR3 now appears for Wednesday
An updated look at conditions in SA early next week, where a forecast LOR3 is now appearing for next Wednesday. We also look at the invocation schedule for constraint sets within the region.
Loy Yang A2 apparent trip from 443MW on Wednesday 25th June 2025
A very short midday article on Wednesday 25th June 2025 noting this apparent trip of LYA2 unit from 443MW just prior to 11:31 (NEM time).
Unplanned outage of Darlington Point – Wagga No.63 330 kV line
At 17:44 yesterday (Monday 23rd June 2025) the AEMO issued MN127743 noting an unplanned outage of Darlington Point - Wagga No.63 330 kV line (leading to the ‘N-DPWG_63_X5’ constraint set being invoked)
A closer look at LOR projections in South Australia next Monday 30th June 2025
A quick look into those LOR forecasts for South Australia next Monday, including a view of forecasts for market demand, wind and solar conditions, and generator outages.
A 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria on Tuesday 24th June 2025
Another short article about a large change in demand – this one being a 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ to the 12:10 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Tuesday 24th June 2025.
Forecast LOR3 for South Australia for Monday 30th June 2025
Beginning Monday evening 23rd June 2025, the AEMO has forecast extremely tight supply-demand balance in South Australia (including possible load shedding) for Monday 30th June 2025.