Let’s start with this NEMwatch snapshot at 13:45 with ‘Market Demand’ for NSW at 12,137MW.
That level’s only ~400MW or so below what the earlier forecasts had pegged for peak ‘Market Demand’ today … but clearly it’s going to blast right through that mark (unless some unforeseen forecast cool change eventuates).
We can see the big discrepancy clearly in this collage of two instances of ‘Forecast Convergence’ in ez2view, focused on ‘Market Demand’ in NSW – the P5 forecast at the top and the P30 forecast at the bottom:
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
1 Commenton "NSW ‘Market Demand’ past 12,000MW … how high will it go (on Friday 19th December 2025)?"
Worth noting against this post for future reference (though don’t take as official values)…
NSW market demand maxed around 16:00 AEST at 13,000 of the NEM wide 30,000.
NSW estimated underlying demand maxed around 14:00 AEST at 16,500 of the NEM wide 39,000.
Worth noting against this post for future reference (though don’t take as official values)…
NSW market demand maxed around 16:00 AEST at 13,000 of the NEM wide 30,000.
NSW estimated underlying demand maxed around 14:00 AEST at 16,500 of the NEM wide 39,000.