Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 16th, 17th and 18th January 2013
Winding back the clock to summer 2012-13 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 16th, 17th and 18th January 2013.
Read MoreWinding back the clock to summer 2012-13 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 16th, 17th and 18th January 2013.
Read MoreAn updated animation of 20th December 2012 focused on the Queensland region – a volatile day for that region.
Here’s another animated case study of one more interesting time that occurred through summer 2013 in Queensland – on this occasion the evening of Saturday 12th January 2013.
Five thought-provoking questions about what really happened in Queensland over summer 2013 – and the supplementary question about what it all means for the future.
Beginning prior to 7am and progressing through the morning of Wednesday 2nd January 2013, there was significant volatility in the Queensland region of the National Electricity Market – including four spikes at or above $1,000/MWh.
Here’s a walk-through of how it unfolded, with some pointers to some of the contributing factors.
Here’s an animated view of how price volatility emerged in the Queensland region of the National Electricity Market emerged on 20th December 2012 – and the range of factors that contributed.
A view of how NEM-wide demand trended over summer, with respect to our Best Demand Forecaster in the NEM competition.
The price spiked yesterday (Monday 18th February) in South Australia and Victoria – here’s an overview of what happened.
A record of the extreme temperatures across NSW today, driving demand in NSW up towards the all-time electricity demand record set 23 months ago.
A starting list of a number of factors that combined to deliver sustained higher wholesale electricity prices in the Queensland region across the weekend of Saturday 12th January and Sunday 13th January 2013.
A record of the highest NEM-wide demand so far during summer 2012-13. A useful reference, for all of those who entered our “Best Demand Forecaster in the NEM” competition this time, and for those who sat on the sidelines.
After watching electricity spot prices in Queensland remain stubbornly high over the weekend, we invested some time today to assess the extent to which these price patterns had ever been seen before – in the 15 years of NEM history.
An extra-ordinary weekend in Queensland, where the mercury stays up and so does electricity demand and (as a result, plus with some help from other factors) so does price.
A record of a hot day that drove NEM-Wide demand to the highest level it has achieved (thus far) this summer. See this in context of historical maximum levels.
A snapshot of a day of contrast – with high demand in Queensland (temperature driven) and extraordinarily low demand in the south.
The mercury in Sydney topped the 40 degree mark today, but demand did not climb to the heights it achieved when it set the record 2 summers ago.
A preliminary look at a number of events that happened today, leading to prices spiking to the Market Price Cap in a number of regions, Demand Side Response being very active, and trading desks being very busy.
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With a severe weather warning issued for much of Australia (with Sydney and Brisbane almost being the only exceptions) and lasting several days, it’s timely to look at what AEMO is forecasting demand to be in the week ahead.
A brief look at the demand shape on Christmas Day 2012, and how this compares to prior years.
A record of a higher demand day in Queensland today