NSW demand currently forecast to peak up at 13,500MW on Tuesday 19th December
Current forecasts at AEMO show NSW demand forecast to peak above 13,500MW (which would easily be the highest December demand in NSW since 2009).
Seasonal Record of Events in the Market
Collections of events that we see happening in the NEM, categorised in terms of the seasons in which they occur.
Coincident warm demand forecast for VIC and NSW tomorrow late afternoon (Monday 18th December)
AEMO forecasts NEM-wide demand to exceed 32,000MW tomorrow (Monday 18th December), which is far higher than seen in December 2016, and one reason for the LOR1 low reserve notices.
“Scheduled Demand” in Victoria stopped short of 8,500MW today (lower than forecast) but the demand peak forecast for NSW tomorrow has grown to almost 13,000MW
Demand in Victoria peaked lower than forecast today, but demand forecasts for NSW tomorrow are continuing to climb.
Hornsdale Power Reserve continues to reach new milestones with a discharge rate of 100 MW today
Hornsdale Power Reserve a.k.a “World’s biggest battery” achieves new milestones – discharged at a rate of 100MW and charged continuously for nearly 3 hours.
High temperatures to give demand a kick in Victoria tomorrow (Wednesday 13th December)
AEMO forecasts higher demand in Victoria (and South Australia) tomorrow with the hot weather – and a slight LOR1 warning.
Electricity demand set to climb in NSW on Thursday with the hot weather forecast
With hot weather forecast for NSW this Thursday (especially in inland areas) it’s no surprise to see that the AEMO is forecasting higher demand on the day. Linked to this there is also a slight negative (local) surplus generation forecast.
AEMO updates generator combinations for SA system strength
AEMO has adjusted the formula (i.e. constraint equations) used to manage system strength in South Australia, which has been (since mid-2017) by constraining down the output of wind farms under certain conditions.
Big ramp in QLD demand Thursday evening to be first time above 8000MW this summer
Queensland demand ramped up, after the sun had gone down Thursday evening, to pass 8000MW for the first time this summer
The first stage of the Kidston Energy Park powers up
With Genex releasing an ASX announcement of first revenue at Kidston Solar Farm, we use NEMreview v7 to have a quick look.
Hornsdale Power Reserve (a.k.a. “the worlds biggest battery”) supplied SA for over an hour yesterday, peaking at 71 MW discharge
It’s 1st December 2017 – the first day of summer, and also the promised delivery date for the “world’s largest battery”. In this updated post we look at how it’s been operating.
Not quite summer and volatility returns to Victoria and South Australia
Some volatility with the hot weather on Wednesday 29th November – is this a precursor for summer?
Hornsdale Power Reserve (a.k.a. “the world’s biggest battery”) begins to charge, and also discharges for the first time on Saturday
It’s Saturday 25th November 2017 and what is currently known as “the worlds biggest battery” has kicked into gear – charging for a couple hours this morning.
What’s the market data saying about this Summer?
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, follows up a post in September (reviewing what the AEMO’s ESOO was saying about summer 2017-18) with this review of updated data
The two, SA Government-owned, “Emergency Generators” produce first power whilst commissioning
The two emergency generators provide first power to the South Australian grid.
Possibilities of Peak Demand (VIC and SA) during summer 2017-18
Our guest author, Rob Davis, looks at what might emerge for summer 2017-18 given the La Nina outlook, and prior distributions of Cooling Degree Days for Victoria and South Australia
The solar component of the Gullen Range Power Station started operation on 14th September
Quick look at how Gullen Range solar has gone, since it started on 14th September.
Here’s two odd examples being used in attempt to justify a claim of why privatisation will lead to higher spot prices
Reading an article in the Courier Mail on Saturday I was struck by the use of two particularly odd examples to support a case for retention of government ownership of electricity generation.
September Update: More Regulation on the Retail Side
Following from my August update, here’s two developments we have seen in relation to retail & networks regulation.
Initial questions about the LGC market
Our first look at trended LGC production (aggregated by state/territory) and LGC spot prices (monthly average), now possible in NEMreview v7, generates a number of questions…
How much wind-powered electricity production has been curtailed in SA since these new constraints were invoked?
An article that sums up some decidedly un-quick calculations we’ve performed – looking over an 8 week period to 13th September to estimate how much wind power has been curtailed by the AEMO.