Reviewing LGC creation at Codrington Wind Farm over ~24 years
With the news that Codrington Wind Farm (one of the first in the NEM) is to be closed, we take a quick look at 24 years of history.
Large-Scale VRE
Cataloguing various pieces of analysis with respect to VRE (variable renewable energy).
Curtailment of Large Solar reaches ~72% (NEM-wide) on Sunday 16th February 2025
Given the situation that unfolded on Sunday 16th February 2025, we take a look at curtailment of Large Solar production (not quite a record).
Keeping up with the curtailment 2024: A little? too much? or much ado about nothing?
Drawing from our freshly released GSD2024, Dan provides some deeper insights into curtailment in the NEM, beyond the headline totals that were a topic of much online discussion earlier this week.
Berrybank 1 and Berrybank 2 Wind Farms offline since Tuesday morning 4th February following wind turbine collapse
Prompted by a reader (and an ABC article) we take a look at Berrybank 1 & 2 Wind Farm following the turbine tower collapse on Tuesday 4th February 2025.
A couple of wind turbines returned to service at Murra Warra 1 Wind Farm in Victoria
Finding another use for the relatively recent addition of the ELAV data set for Semi-Scheduled units, we follow on from a RenewEconomy article (in Nov 2024) to trend the availability of the Murra Warra...
Locations of last week’s CIS winners vs known areas of congestion
After a suggestion from a reader, Dan plots the locations of the 19 winning CIS projects announced last week against economic and network curtailment data.
AEMO’s 2024 Intermittent Generator Forum provides renewed awareness for wind and solar generators
Information spanned a wide range of topics related to intermittent generator forecasting, and included a guest presentation by the AER.
AER sends clear message on self-forecasting behaviours
Semi-scheduled generators shouldn't treat self-forecasts as commercial parameters. The regulator holds significant concerns with the biasing of self-forecasts for commercial benefit.
(Up to) 75% of Large Solar capability curtailed across the NEM, on Sunday 22nd September 2024
With new 'lowest' points for demand in NSW reached over the weekend, today we take a quick look back at curtailment across Large Solar Farms right across the NEM.
Curtailment (spillage) of Large Solar reaches 2/3 of total resource, on Saturday 24th August 2024
A short record of some large curtailment of Large Solar resource on Saturday 24th August 2024.
Trended NEM-wide % VRE over 12 days in June 2024
A short article in conjunction with GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2, trending NEM-wide % VRE over 12 days in June 2024.
Final figures for wind production through 2024 Q2
We've ticked over the end of 2024 Q2, so here's a short note to recap the long-range wind production statistics.
Where’s the wind gone, through 2024 Q2? … with June perhaps even worse than April or May!
Extending the 'worm line' cumulative trend of wind production through 2024 Q2 (to 22nd June) and comparing to 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020 reveals a picture that is, at the same time, both frightening...
Correlation between low wind Capacity Factor and low IRPM (NEM-wide) in recent evenings + Thursday evening looks likely to be low, as well.
Given what's happened for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday evening this week (and even tighter supply-demand balance forecast for Thursday evening) we take a look at the correlation between low IRPM and low Capacity Factor...
How predictable is the wind (a short Case Study of Thursday evening 30th May 2024)?
An (initial and) short review of the solid block of high aggregate wind yield over the ~3 day date range (late Tuesday 28th May 2024 to late Friday 31st May 2024) ... and how...
‘Another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide, beginning Wednesday 8th May 2024
Coincidentally today, David Osmond has posted about 'another challenging week' for VRE NEM-wide (a week beginning Wed 8th May 2024 - the day NSW hit the Cumulative Price Threshold).
Keeping up with the curtailment Part 2: The what and the where
Dan Lee takes a deeper dive into network and economic curtailment, and shares some charts and data maps that demonstrate seasonal effects, and the geographic spread of units affected.
A precis of the ‘Exploring Wind Diversity’ analysis completed in Appendix 27 of GenInsights21
Almost 2.5 years since we released GenInsights21, today we're publishing this article that contains a precis of the analysis included as Appendix 27 under the title 'Exploring Wind Diversity'.
Brief Case Study of low aggregate VRE (Wind + Large Solar) on Saturday 13th April 2024 … Part 1?
Taking a quick look at the dispatch interval through this period of low aggregate wind harvest that also saw lowest aggregate VRE (Wind + Large Solar).
Keeping up with the curtailment: 3.7TWh of semi-scheduled economic and network curtailment estimated in 2023
A chart of the the month-by-month semi-scheduled economic and network curtailment totals, along with the top 3 worst hit units over 2023.