Stubborn forecasts for LOR2 (low reserve condition) for NSW for Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
One factor contributing to the tight supply-demand balance is the decline in wind production (and capability) inverse to the rise in ‘Market Demand’.
A quick look at Semi-Scheduled Wind UIGF forecasts for this evening, where tight supply-demand is expected in NSW.
This morning I was fortunate to listen into an ESIG Webinar with respect to their report ‘Weather Dataset Needs for Planning and Analyzing Modern Power Systems’
A week’s worth of data provides indications of how semi-scheduled generators are using bid MaxAvail to manage dispatch availability.
It is indispensable to understand how the semi-scheduled unit availability gets produced to optimally manage the critical inputs and comprehend dispatch outcomes. This article explains the key inputs and processes, focusing on the dispatch timeframe.
AEMO is re-enabling the ‘MaxAvail’ figure in bids for Semi-Scheduled units. It will act as a limit on capacity available, feeding into the NEMDE dispatch process for the unit. We look at how Semi-Scheduled plant have currently been treating MaxAvail in the bid and share some insights.
We delve deeper into dispatch availability self-forecasts and the assessment process to further enhance our understanding of this important aspect, testing sensitivity to gate closure times and requirements on minimum intervals.
Out-of-the-blue, the price spikes up near $10,000/MWh in South Australia on an otherwise ‘boring’ day … a sign of what we should expect increasingly in future?