I did say previously that we’d not be posting articles each time the AEMO updates its forecast for LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) for NSW on the afternoon/evening of Wednesday 27th November 2024, but MN120879 rates special mention, for reasons that should be obvious:
——————————————————————-
MARKET NOTICE
——————————————————————-
From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 24/11/2024 15:09:48
——————————————————————-
Notice ID : 120879
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 24/11/2024
External Reference : STPASA – Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the NSW Region on 27/11/2024
——————————————————————-
Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
The Forecast LOR3 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 120876 has been updated at 1445 hrs on 24/11/2024 to the following:
[1.] From 1200 hrs 27/11/2024 to 1900 hrs 27/11/2024.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 1052 MW at 1430 hrs.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
——————————————————————-
END OF REPORT
——————————————————————-
Remember that these alerts are intended to facilitate a market response … with a maximum load shedding amount of 1052MW (i.e. bigger than the biggest energy users in the NEM, and the size of a reasonable city) it will take a considerable response!
Others in the team will be reporting more, during the week, what unfolds (to the extent the time permits).
Leave a comment