Well, we did note ‘ever-so-slightly out of forecast LOR conditions’ in this update earlier this afternoon … so it should be no surprise to readers that we’ve more recently slipped back below that threshold line (back into ‘forecast LOR3’ territory) in MN120725 published at 17:10:
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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 20/11/2024 17:10:46
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Notice ID : 120725
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 20/11/2024
External Reference : STPASA – Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the NSW Region on 26/11/2024
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Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR3 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following period:
From 1530 hrs to 1900 hrs 26/11/2024.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 12 MW at 1730 hrs.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
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END OF REPORT
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Should note, at this point that:
1) The AEMO does not issue a Market Notice for every update of the ST PASA forecast run; and
2) From this point forward, we’re not going to try to publish an article for each market notice about ‘forecast LOR3’.
Rather, for those with the ez2view software, I suggest that:
1) You configure your ‘Notifications’ widget (and or the ‘SMS alarms’ widget) to alert you to Market Notices containing LOR3; and/or
2) Keep a ‘Forecast Convergence’ dashboard up on a big screen, focused on LOR Condition in NSW … this is how it looks at 17:40 NEM time on Wednesday 20th November 2024.
Over to ez2view clients to keep an eye out, on the frequency they desire…
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