Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Following a focused effort over the past two months, we’ve released the updated statistical record of operations in Australia’s National Electricity Market … the Generator Statistical Digest 2022 (GSD2022)
A first (and perhaps only – as this took longer than initially planned) walk through some of the interesting points of what happened yesterday (Sat 16th Nov 2019) when South Australia islanded from the rest of the NEM with the trip of the Heywood interconnector.
A sequence of afternoon intervals stand out because the forecast appeared to be biased low – self-forecasts suddenly dropped roughly 30-40 percentage points and then increased a short time later.
Interested to see your thoughts on this. I regularly see another bias at work – optimism bias – which is where people think that things that have happened in the past to others wont happen in future to them, without any genuine reasons for thinking this.
Interested to see your thoughts on this. I regularly see another bias at work – optimism bias – which is where people think that things that have happened in the past to others wont happen in future to them, without any genuine reasons for thinking this.