AEMO forecasts LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW tomorrow–Friday 10th February

Posted by Paul McArdle Thursday, February 9 2017 Topic: Summer 2016-17 in the NEM

Following on from Wednesday’s load shedding in Adelaide, the electricity sector will be of heightened interest to a broader number of people today (for all the “wrong” reasons).

Hence it’s worth flagging the Market Notice issued 04:43 this morning looking at the period 16:00 to 16:30 NEM time tomorrow (Friday 10th February – 17:00 to 17:30 Sydney daylight savings) as highlighted here in NEM-Watch:

2017-02-09-at-06-10-NEMWatch-forecastLOR3inNSWonFriday

As highlighted, this notice flags possible load shedding in NSW late tomorrow afternoon.

2017-02-09-at-04-43-NEMwatch-MarketNotice

Now, it’s important to note that this is a forecast for tomorrow – it’s not actually occurring currently.  As AEMO has noted, the market is expected to respond by making more capacity available.

However it does reveal a very, very tight supply/demand balance – expect, at the very least, sky high prices.

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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3 Trackbacks & Pingbacks

  1. Coal-reliant NSW faces rolling blackouts as accusations fly in South Australia : Renew Economy
  2. AEMO’s successive forecasts for NSW tomorrow paint a progressively WORSE picture | WattClarity
  3. Early Friday 10th February – forecasts for near-record electricity demand and load shedding in NSW | WattClarity

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