After the storm: Looking at Q2 2023 price trends, one year on from an Energy Crisis
One year on from a market-wide suspension, Dan Lee provides a review of Q2 prices for 2023 so that we can examine some of the longer-term price trends.
Read MoreReview of Q2 Price Outcomes
In 2016, following the end of a remarkable Q2 period, we completed some analysis of wholesale pricing patterns for each region over the ~90-day period. This was a sign of the energy transition, which had commenced prior to this point.
In each year since we’ve completed similar analysis for the Q2 just passed, with this analysis now collated in this category for ease of reference.
Q2 is particularly of interest as it’s traditionally been one of the more ‘boring’ quarters of the year, not historically been the focus of spot price volatility.
Reviewing price patterns in Q2 2022 … anatomy of an Energy Crisis
After many years in a row, we return (in the midst of the ‘2022 Energy Crisis’) to review the pricing patterns in the NEM and the WEM for Q2 2022.
It’s good news that time-weighted average prices for Q2 2020 are down on prior years – right?
Spurred by a number of concurrent requests I’ve returned to the pattern of prior analysis of Q2 prices (completed in 2016, 2017 and 2018) to look at what’s changed for Q2 2020 that’s just ended. Some stakeholders clearly taken by surprise. Analysis includes the SWIS in Western Australia
Reviewing the pattern of spot prices for Q2 2018 suggests that we’re far from out of the woods, yet
Returning to the theme of analysis of Q2 prices (completed in 2017 and 2016 due to Q2 historically being an uneventful period) we see that prices have backed off from the “off the charts” level of 2017, but are still much higher in all regions than most other regions. In some cases results are second worst in 20 years.
If spot price outcomes through Q2 2016 were “truly remarkable” then price outcomes for Q2 2017 were off the chart
A year on from my review of “remarkable” prices seen in Q2 2016, I return to the same analysis and update for Q2 2017. Outcomes are even more extreme…
Reviewing Q2 prices – short-term excursion, or more systemic change in pricing patterns?
Some initial analysis about the remarkable pricing outcomes seen across all regions of the NEM through Q2 2016