The ‘Faster than Forecast’ session in the afternoon of day 1 CEC’s QCES 2025

As noted here earlier today, yesterday I appreciated the opportunity to attend day 1 of the CEC’s ‘Queensland Clean Energy Summit 2025’ … especially for the conversations over coffee (and drinks at the end of the day) – but also because of a few worthwhile sessions that I attended.

I’ll be a bit late in for Day 2 of the CEC QCES today, because I thought it was worth firstly noting a couple of observations following the afternoon session, titled ‘Faster than Forecast’ (though I really wonder if that was a mis-naming for the session):

2025-09-15-CEC-QCES-FasterThanForecast

Whilst Emma Fagan chaired the session, we had interesting presentations from 3 different presenters – from which I particularly want to flag two things:

1)  Firstly, David Dixon from Rystad gave a very useful presentation – including noting that ‘we’re moving fast, but not fast enough’ … with respect to the legislated ‘82% by 2030’ target

2)  Then Oliver Nunn from Endgame Analytics spoke, and provided a number of useful insights and perspectives – including noting that ‘the ISP Step Change Scenario is divorced from reality’.

 

Coincidentally, the above (and in the context of the 2 important climate reports) prompted me to finish off and publish the article ‘Six different lenses to view the ESOO 2025 … giving wildly different perspectives’ that we had been working on in parallel.


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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