AEMO’s demand forecasts show chance of a bigger demand day declining – for Monday 3rd February 2025
An update (at 09:00 NEM time) on AEMO's more recent forecasts for peak demand levels for this evening Monday 3rd February 2025.
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About the Industrial Action at Gladstone Power Station (potentially) taking all units offline … and LOR forecast for QLD, VIC and SA
Yesterday we posted ‘All 6 coal units at Gladstone coincidentally out on unplanned outage this coming week?’. Two readers noted in comments about Industrial Action for the station...
All 6 coal units at Gladstone coincidentally out on unplanned outage this coming week?
Worth also adding in a short note with this snapshot from ‘Generator Outages’ widget in ez2view at the 18:00 on Sunday 2nd February 2025 with all 6 units...
‘Market Demand’ in Victoria reaches 9,433MW (thus far) on Sunday 2nd February 2025
Worth a short note with this NEMwatch snapshot highlighting that the Victorian ‘Market Demand’ has reached 9,433MW this afternoon at the 17:35 dispatch interval already on Sunday 2nd...
Monday 3rd February could be a big day, in terms of ‘Market Demand’ across the NEM (and in Victoria)
Here's an updated view of AEMO's forecasts for 'Market Demand' across the NEM (and Victoria) for Mon 3rd Feb and Tue 4th Feb 2025 - from the ‘Forecast...
A trend of daily peak Victoria ‘Market Demand’– from 1st January 2008 to 1st February 2025
With respect to forecasts for peak Victorian ‘Market Demand’ in summer 2024-25 (and particularly with expectations of Monday 3rd and Tuesday 4th February) we fielded a few questions...
Late afternoon volatility in South Australia on Saturday 1st February 2025
A quick note, recording some late afternoon volatility in South Australia.
A brief reminder about the complexity of measuring ‘Demand’ …
There’s essentially three measures of demand that are commonly talked about, and they are not really interchangeable.
A trend of daily peak NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’– from 1st January 2008 to 31st January 2025
With respect to forecasts for peak NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ in summer 2024-25 (and particularly following Friday’s article) we fielded a few questions about how extreme that might be....
(Mysterious and) Large drop in NSW ‘Market Demand’ late afternoon Friday 31st January 2025, prompting questions … part 1
Coincident with the walk home this afternoon/evening, the ‘Notifications’ widget in one of our display copies of ez2view alerted us to a large drop of ‘Market Demand’ in...
Guest Authored Posts
An initial look at Winners and Losers from Frequency Performance Payments (FPP)
In his first guest authored article on WattClarity, Jack Fox reports some initial observations from a review of the Non Financial Obligation (NFO) data that's been published since
Hot chips, algorithms and electricity markets
Declan Kelly thinks through and discusses competition issues that could arise from the increasing proliferation of auto-bidding software by big batteries in the NEM - and suggests some...
Detailed Analysis
Is the predictability of day-ahead demand improving?
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future 'Ahead Market'. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours...
Potential Tripwire #3 When is a load not a load?
A feature of the upcoming EMMS technical specification that distinguishes demand response units from scheduled loads could impact some users of NEM data, if left unmanaged.
P30 Predispatch forecasts after 5-minute settlement–what do they mean?
30-minute pre-dispatch provides critical forward price information to the NEM - but what exactly will it mean after five-minute settlement? Marcelle takes a look.
Ranking wind farm performance and FCAS costs in the NEM in 2020
Which wind farms performed best in 2020? Marcelle extracts data from the GSD2020 to compare spot (and LGC) revenue, and FCAS cost performance, across wind farms in the...
Where’d the wind go, during the last week of April?
Over the week that has just passed we kept noticing production from wind farms across the NEM was fairly muted - so we've had a look at what...
Announcing development of ‘Generator Insights 2021’, and inviting your pre-order
As alluded to in several recent articles, we have underway a process for updating the ~180 page analytical component included in the Generator Report Card 2018 (released 23...
Large-scale solar farm revenue in 2020 part 2 – considering LGCs
Marcelle extends last week's comparison of solar farm energy spot market revenue in 2020 by adding in an estimate of the LGC (green certificate) revenue.
A Comparison of Large-Scale Solar Farm Revenue in 2020
Which solar farms performed best in 2020? Marcelle compares spot revenue performance across the NEM.