Unplanned outage of Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line
At 07:55 (on Monday 20th October 2025), an unplanned outage of Dapto - Marulan (8) 330 kV line led to the unplanned invocation of the 'N-DTMN_8_15M' constraint set.
All Posts
Spicy prices forecast for NSW on Monday afternoon/evening 20th October 2025
A quick note, on Monday morning 20th October 2025, showing the re-emergence of price forecasts up near the Market Price Cap for a 90-120 minute period this afternoon/evening.
Forecast Minimum System Load for Victoria next Saturday 25th October 2025
A short note to flag MN129813 looking forward to next Saturday 25th October 2025, flagging possible MSL1 in Victoria.
Considerable uncertainty, with respect to what might unfold in NSW next Wednesday 22nd October 2025
Following a series of Market Notices from AEMO with respect to forecast LORx conditions for NSW next Wednesday 22nd October 2025, we take a first look.
Price spike in NSW (and QLD!) at 14:55 on Friday 17th October 2025
A very quick article to record the price spike (for ENERGY) in the NSW region at 14:55 earlier today (Friday 17th October 2025) ... and Contingency Lower in QLD.
How the NEM BESS fleet is operating on peak days, and how to be a savvy operator
In this guest article, Matt Grover from Fluence draws on operational data and real-world trading experience to unpack how Australia’s grid-scale batteries performed across three June 2025 peak days — and what capabilities belong...
Peeling the second layer of the onion, with respect to the (SemiSched-induced) frequency weakness on Thursday 16th October 2025
Having already noted the ‘Weakness in frequency stability on Thursday afternoon 16th October 2025’, we take a look at the causes - for the four high-profile dispatch intervals.
Aldoga Solar Farm on Sunday 12th October 2025 – Part 2
In this article we inspect power deviations from dispatched units that would have contributed to the frequency rise, and the deviations that would have contributed to the correction.
Weakness in frequency stability on Thursday afternoon 16th October 2025
The worst periods of frequency stability on Thursday 16th October 2025 were *not* with the simultaneous trip of YWPS3 and YWPS4, but rather later and the day - and look similar to patterns seen...
Both YWPS3 and YWPS4 back online overnight
A quick follow-on early Friday morning 17th October 2025 to note that both YWPS3 and YWPS4 made it back online overnight.
Guest Authored Posts
24 GW in 24 months, a race against time for the NEM
Following his presentation at All-Energy in Melbourne last week, David Dixon reports on the state of the NEM's ambition to reach 82% renewables by 2030.
The implications of the Solar Sharer Offer (SSO) and Default Market Offer (DMO) review outcome on energy sellers
In this guest-authored article, Connor James explains the upcoming changes to the DMO, including the much publicised Solar Sharer Offer (SSO), and potential implications for energy sellers in NSW, SEQ, and SA.
Detailed Analysis
Demand Response as Market Participant: Square Peg in Round Hole?
A year ago we reviewed the market outcomes of wholesale demand response (WDR) in the NEM. It’s been 2 years now, providing a new milestone from which to review participation and impact. Can we...
Long or short on storage? A look into price signals for duration
Dan Lee looks into utility-scale storage in Queensland - including the need for megawatt-hours, the state of the build-out, and the current market price signal for duration.
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q2 2023 released
A quick note to mark the the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q2 2023 last week.
What inputs and processes determine a semi-scheduled unit’s availability
It is indispensable to understand how the semi-scheduled unit availability gets produced to optimally manage the critical inputs and comprehend dispatch outcomes. This article explains the key inputs and processes, focusing on the dispatch...
Another research paper into solar and wind droughts in Australia
A quick note at another research paper (focused on an area of interest to us) that's crossed our field of vision.
Digging further into ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’, to understand what Dispatchable Capacity is actually required
In conjunction with the analysis done to complete GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023 (released today), here's 14 years of daily data of 'Aggregate Scheduled Target' that might help to illustrate the aggregate requirement...
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023 released
A quick note on Wednesday 31st May 2023 to mark the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022… Part 4: the geographical spread of +861MW AggROT
In the fourth instalment of this ongoing case study, Dan Lee maps the locations and contributions of the semi-scheduled units that contributed to the +861MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target that occurred on the afternoon of...