*Might* be a new all-time record for NEMwide wind production on Monday night 26th May 2025
An updated view (at Monday morning 26th May 2025) at updated forecasts for NEM-wide wind capability for this evening.
All Posts
Forecast for high wind capability across the NEM on Monday 26th May 2025
A glance at an ez2view dashboard shows AEMO forecasts for wind capability next Monday 26th May 2025 will be quite high.
Trouble at the TEMCO Smelter in Tasmania in May 2025?
On Monday 19th May and Tuesday 20th May 2025 there were several articles we saw that suggested a period of 'limited operations' (and presumably lower electricity consumption) at a major energy user in Tasmania.
Buronga No.5 330kV synchronous condenser has been commissioned in NSW
AEMO notes that 'At 1700 hrs 20/05/2025, the Buronga No.5 330kV synchronous condenser has been commissioned.'
Prices up in the southern half of the NEM – on Tuesday 20th May 2025
A short article to mark a (relatively rare) instance where prices in the three southern regions of a May evening are more elevated than in QLD and NSW.
Loy Yang A3 offline on Tuesday afternoon 20th May 2025 – small frequency drop
A short note because of a 295MW drop in output from Loy Yang A3 just prior to 14:06 (NEM time) on Tuesday 20th May 2025.
My unofficial report on an unofficial ‘Energy Week’ in Melbourne 5th to 9th May 2025
From Monday 5th May to Friday 9th May 2025 was like an unofficial Energy Week in Melbourne for me, out-and-about at a few events. Here's my record of some of what happened...
Unplanned outage at Callide C3 extended by 3 days – to Monday 2nd June 2025
A short note to flag this 3-day extension to the unplanned outage at Callide C3.
Adoption and use of dispatch self-forecasting for solar units, Q1 2025
47% of dispatch intervals for semi-scheduled solar units are seeing a self-forecast used. When there are gaps, was the unit suppressed?
Early evening volatility in NSW (and QLD) on Sunday 18th May 2025
A short note to highlight some early evening volatility from 16:55 (NEM time) on Sunday 18th May 2025.
Guest Authored Posts
We need more research on storage trading
In this guest post, Greg Williams calls for more research into how storage bidding—particularly auto-rebidding—is reshaping price formation and competition as flexible assets take centre stage in the NEM.
Battery bidding is reshaping FCAS — But Demand Response remains a strategic asset
Paul Moore of Viotas look at recent supply-demand dynamics within the contingency FCAS markets and whether demand response can play a role.
Detailed Analysis
Who drove FCAS on the island
Close to $31.5M of revenue was generated in the FCAS markets in SA over the seven days that the region was frequency separated from the rest of the NEM. This follow-on from Allan O’Neil’s...
What was the total cost of ‘keeping the lights on’ across the NEM in June?
Dan Lee provides some exploratory calculations in order to estimate the total cost of maintaining electricity supply throughout a very turbulent June.
AER identifies (at least) 9 discrete factors contributing to the extreme price outcomes (and other concerns) through Q2 2022
With the AER having released its 'Wholesale Markets Quarterly' for Q2 2022 yesterday, I skimmed and saw 9 discrete factors flagged ... each of which contributed to the extreme (price and scarcity) outcomes seen...
AEMO QED highlights (at least) Eight Factors contributing to extreme price outcomes in Q2 2022
On Friday morning 29th July 2022 the AEMO is releasing its 'Quarterly Energy Dynamics' for Q2 2022 - I've flipped through an embargoed copy and have highlighted here eight different factors flagged by AEMO...
On the fringes: the outer edges of the NEM remain the most prone to volatile MLFs
To mark the end of the financial year, Dan Lee writes this explainer about MLFs and gives some examples of noticeable long-term MLF trends within the NEM.
Pricing and dispatch during market suspension
Marcelle explores how settlement prices are set and how dispatch is operating during the current market suspension.
Who gets to run when everyone bids the same? A crash course in disorderly bidding and tie-breaking
Marcelle explores the little-understood concept in NEM dispatch of the tie-break principle, using the new 'Constraint Dashboard' widget in ez2view.
A briefing on GenInsights21 for Smart Energy Council members
Next Tuesday 5th April 2022 the Smart Energy Council has organised us to provide a briefing on GenInsights21, and what we can learn from this to inform the energy transition.