A closer look at LOR projections in South Australia next Monday 30th June 2025
A quick look into those LOR forecasts for South Australia next Monday, including a view of forecasts for market demand, wind and solar conditions, and generator outages.
All Posts
A 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria on Tuesday 24th June 2025
Another short article about a large change in demand – this one being a 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ to the 12:10 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Tuesday 24th June 2025.
Forecast LOR3 for South Australia for Monday 30th June 2025
Beginning Monday evening 23rd June 2025, the AEMO has forecast extremely tight supply-demand balance in South Australia (including possible load shedding) for Monday 30th June 2025.
New all-time record for NEM-wide wind, on Monday 23rd June 2025
We see a new record for NEM-wide wind production was set at 22:35 (NEM time) on Monday evening 23rd June 2025, with aggregate FinalMW reaching 9,491MW.
Red Electrica report on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025”
On Wednesday 18th June 2025 Red Eléctrica (REE) published on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025” .
The frequency of coal generation events in 2025
A count of coal generator events indicates large unit trips are less frequent.
‘June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years’
It was with interest that one of our team members noted David Osmond’s comment earlier today when he said 'June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years ...'
A dose of evening volatility across the mainland, on Wednesday 18th June 2025
Here’s a snapshot from NEMwatch at 17:35 on Wednesday 18th June 2025 as food for further discussions at 'Energy Week' in Melbourne tomorrow.
The Non-Confidential Report (182 pages) into the Iberian blackout
Earlier today we wrote about the ‘News Release on the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula...’. Here's the report (which we could not find at the time).
News Release on the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula (on 28th April 2025) suggests overvoltage was the cause
On Tue 17th June 2025 (local time) a news release has been made to suggest a report into the April 2025 power outage on Iberian Peninsula has been released.
Guest Authored Posts
Not all renewable projects are created equal: Why approval times vary dramatically across Australia
Alice Matthews examines how approval times for renewables vary widely by state and technology — with NSW wind projects facing the longest delays.
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
Detailed Analysis
Putting Monday’s record-breaking demand in QLD into context (22nd Jan 2024)
Still trying to make sense of what did and didn't happen in QLD last night, Dan Lee provides some context to how yesterday's record-breaking demand compares to similar historical events.
The early wind farms reaching 20 years: how are they performing?
With Challicum Hills Wind Farm recently celebrating its 20th anniversary, Dan Lee takes a look into the long-term trend of technical and commercial performance of the oldest wind farms in the NEM.
Dan Lee’s reflections about ‘the year that was in 2023’ via the WattClarity insight service
Yesterday (Thu 22nd Dec 2023), Dan Lee posted a summary of WattClarity service through 2023 on our company website. Today I'm sharing that with WattClarity readers here.
Case Study (Part 2) of Low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by...
Case Study (part 1) of low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
A brief article as a first Case Study looking at Mon 3rd and Tue 4th July 2023, in conjunction with the compilation of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3.
Demand Response as Market Participant: Square Peg in Round Hole?
A year ago we reviewed the market outcomes of wholesale demand response (WDR) in the NEM. It’s been 2 years now, providing a new milestone from which to review participation and impact. Can we...
Long or short on storage? A look into price signals for duration
Dan Lee looks into utility-scale storage in Queensland - including the need for megawatt-hours, the state of the build-out, and the current market price signal for duration.
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q2 2023 released
A quick note to mark the the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q2 2023 last week.