Sarah Lawley (at NEMdev 2025) spoke about what she sees as ‘circular reasoning’ in the ISP
A short note to follow the NEMdev 2025 conference (Tue 7th and Wed 8th Oct 2025) and to highlight a comment made by Sarah Lawley about the ISP.
All Posts
Some suggestions for the Nelson Review panel to consider (with respect to Forecasting) following review of the Draft Report
Following my presentation at NEMdev 2025 (on 8th Oct 2025), here are some suggestions that the Nelson Review panel might consider - with respect to forecasting.
Short-notice outage at Loy Yang A4 in Victoria on Wednesday 15th October 2025
At 09:06 (NEM time) this ‘Notifications’ widget alert from ez2view flags Loy Yang A4 coming offline ... which helps explain the directions for System Strength.
Scarce use of aggregate dispatch conformance to-date
No Mixed aggregate dispatch groups have been registered.
AEMO notes ‘Non-credible contingency event’ at Jeeralang
No sooner had we noted that ‘AEMO changes mind, and directs Murray instead (to run as syncon) for System Strength in Victoria on Wednesday 15th October 2025’ then we receive MN129618 at 09:00 that helps...
AEMO changes mind, and directs Murray instead … but this was also short-lived?!
Less than an hour after directing Jeeralang (for System Strength in Victoria), AEMO changes its mind and directs Murray instead. Though this was also short-lived!
AEMO issues directions to units at Jeeralang Power Station, for System Strength in Victoria (Wednesday 15th October 2025)
As AEMO had telegraphed yesterday, just after 08:00 (NEM time) on Wednesday 15th October 2025, the AEMO issued Directions to various units at EnergyAustralia’s Jeeralang Power Station for System Strength in Victoria.
Are CIS-ters doin’ it for themselves? Part 4: Policy lessons highlighted by the Nelson Review
In the final part of our four-part CIS series, we zoom out to examine what government-backed Contract-for-Difference schemes are really achieving — drawing on policy lessons from the Nelson Review.
AEMO flags possible intervention tomorrow (Wed 15th Oct 2025) for System Strength in Victoria
Worth noting two market notices today flagging possible intervention because of System Strength issues in Victoria tomorrow (Wednesday 15th October 2025).
Small spike in Mainland Frequency, with (apparent) ~400MW trip of demand in Queensland on Tuesday morning 14th October 2025
It appears that there was some large(ish) trip in demand somewhere on the Queensland network, given the spike in frequency at ~07:28 on Tuesday 14th October 2025.
Guest Authored Posts
24 GW in 24 months, a race against time for the NEM
Following his presentation at All-Energy in Melbourne last week, David Dixon reports on the state of the NEM's ambition to reach 82% renewables by 2030.
The implications of the Solar Sharer Offer (SSO) and Default Market Offer (DMO) review outcome on energy sellers
In this guest-authored article, Connor James explains the upcoming changes to the DMO, including the much publicised Solar Sharer Offer (SSO), and potential implications for energy sellers in NSW, SEQ, and SA.
Detailed Analysis
A precis of the ‘Exploring Wind Diversity’ analysis completed in Appendix 27 of GenInsights21
Almost 2.5 years since we released GenInsights21, today we're publishing this article that contains a precis of the analysis included as Appendix 27 under the title 'Exploring Wind Diversity'.
How many Semi-Scheduled units were submitting Self-Forecasts through 2023 (and how many of these were actually used in dispatch)?
Our GSD2023 was released just over 4 weeks ago. This is the second sequential article utilising the GSD2023 Data Extract to take a look across all the Semi-Scheduled units (i.e. Wind and Solar). In...
Need for speed: How long has each battery project in the NEM taken to deliver?
Elon Musk's '100 days or it's free' offer was made almost exactly 7 years ago - how much longer or shorter have battery development delivery times changed since then?
State-of-charge: a peek into the economics and performances within the NEM’s battery fleet
A review of battery storage market performance in the NEM throughout 2023, a year in which where we saw the battery fleet double in size.
A quick first pass through ENERGY bids (for Victorian units) on Tuesday 13th Feb 2024
Five days after Tuesday 13th February 2024 we have a bit of time to take this initial (top-down) look at bidding for ENERGY in the Victorian region on that day ... with 27 Questions/Observations...
The Generator Statistical Digest 2023 (GSD2023) is released
It's Thursday 15th February 2024 and (in amongst the detailed analysis relating to Tue 13th Feb 2024 in Victoria) we're releasing the GSD2023 ... the Generator Statistical Digest for the 2023 calendar year.
Some *initial* headline questions following the transmission damage, unit trips & loss of load, initiated on Tuesday 13th February 2024
What happened yesterday (Tue 13th Feb 2024) in Victoria was a significant event in the history of the NEM - and the flow on effects will be felt for weeks and months (even years?)....
GSD 2023 Uncovers Features in FCAS Enablement and Bidding
The release of GSD2023 supports a deep dive into its 10-year FCAS history section. We inspect three units of differing technology and make use of the data extract to uncover trends in participation.