Too Early to Say?
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, publishes some analysis for WattClarity on price and generation mix changes apparent in the NEM coincident with (but not wholly caused by) the closure of the last remaining units at...
All Posts
We’re not building enough replacement dispatchable capacity
With completion of GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023 approaching, and following some conversations recently (and probably this week at EUAA Conference) here are two charts looking backwards just at fully dispatchable plant that...
How dispatch works … it’s much more than just a bid stack
New guest author, Ryan Esplin progressively builds a more precise model of the NEMDE dispatch process to illustrate why the stylised 'Merit Order' bid stack model is increasingly not enough to explain dispatch and...
NEMwide IRPM drops below 15% (at 17:55) on Wednesday 10th May 2023
The IRPM has dropped below 15% across the NEM on Wednesday 10th May 2023 ... first time this has happened since the stressful winter 2022.
Renewable curtailment – forced and not quite so forced
Inspired by the recent article by Tristan Edis (who referenced the GSD2022 in analysis of curtailment of some wind and solar farms), Allan O'Neil follows on with more analysis of the two main types...
Currently forecast LOR2 for South Australia for Wednesday 10th May 2023
A first look at a forecast for tight supply-demand conditions for South Australia on Wednesday 10th May 2023.
Liddell’s ghost stalks the market
During early morning Monday 1st May prices spiked in the NSW quite unexpectedly. Guest author Allan O'Neil takes us into the complexities of the EMMS and NEMDE to help us understand the mechanics of...
AEMC publishes Rule Determination for amending the (earlier published) IESS Rule
A short, belated (and back-dated) article about the change to the original IESS Rule.
A spike at 16:15 hints at volatility to resume in SA with the sun setting, on Thursday 4th May 2023
A second article today about volatility in South Australia
AEMO preliminary report on VIC region suspension (loss of SCADA) on 22nd April
Here's where to find AEMO's preliminary report on the loss of SCADA on 22nd April 2023 in Victoria that led to that region being suspended for more than 24 hours.
Guest Authored Posts
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
We need more research on storage trading
In this guest post, Greg Williams calls for more research into how storage bidding—particularly auto-rebidding—is reshaping price formation and competition as flexible assets take centre stage in the NEM.
Detailed Analysis
N/A