NEM-wide demand climbs above 30,000MW today
Demand begins to wake from holiday slumber with temperatures up across the mainland.
A collection of some core analytical challenges
A collection of articles speaking to some core analytical challenges. Others are categorised elsewhere – like my prior thoughts on three reasons why forecasting is a mug’s game.
What’s been happening with NEM-wide demand so far this summer
A quick look back over summer 2015-16 to date to see what level of electricity demand has been achieved.
What impact are Queensland LNG exports having on Queensland electricity markets?
Queensland LNG exports are now in full swing. At the time of writing (18 December) QCLNG has exported 79 LNG cargoes comprising 5.2 million tonnes (Mt) of LNG since the first cargo in January 2015.
South Australia hit by two price spikes
The volatility of the NEM was showcased again on Monday as South Australia experienced two major price spikes in the space of an hour. Using NEM-Watch’s play back feature (screenshot below) we were able to relive when the two price spikes hit.
Queensland demand soars high in the second week of summer
We are only in the second week of summer 2015-16, and demand in Queensland has already begun to heat up, hitting 8507MW at 3:05pm this afternoon after another hot and humid day across the sunshine state.
Sun Metals submits rule change request to AEMC – for optional Five Minute Settlement
On 4th December 2015, Sun Metals (a zinc smelter in northern Queensland, and also one of our initial deSide® clients) submitted this rule change request to the AEMC: In the 10-page proposed change, my sense is that the key points…
Demand heats up in New South Wales and Queensland on the first day of summer
With a Beefeater 5 Burner BBQ on the line , along with a host of other prizes, interested participants of our annual demand forecast competition (entries now closed 🙁 ) would have been keeping a keen eye on demand during the week.
Failure to satisfy the LRET – Prospects and Implications
Some considerations, posted by guest author Andrew George, about the Large-Scale Renewable Energy Target Scheme
LNG meets the NEM
Some thoughts, from one of our guest authors, on how the emergence of an east-coast LNG industry will impact on electricity demand.
Puzzling through three rule change requests
Some ideas that I have been puzzling over – about the overlaps and contradictions between 3 rule changes under consideration at the AEMC currently
1) The Demand Response Mechanism (better known as the Negawatt buyback mechanism)
2) The Bidding in Good Faith deliberation
3) The Requirement for Price-Responsive (large) Demand to bid into central dispatch
Price Response of Large Energy Users could Affect Peak Summer Demand
One of our guest authors speaks, from their experience, how price-responsiveness of large industrial users (particularly with high contract prices for Q1 2016) might impact on peak demand this summer
A meteorologist’s prognosis for peak demand for summer 2015-16
One of our guest authors returns to provide some insights on what weather predictions might mean for extreme temperatures and hence peak demands in the mainland regions.
What factors will contribute to peak demand over summer 2015-2016?
Our guest author, Panos Priftakis, has prepared this analysis of some factors contributing to peak electricity demand – and contributes some insights for summer 2015-16. This might be particularly useful for those contemplating an entry in the WattClarity competition (which closes Friday 27th).
Hot weather pushes NEM-wide demand higher than the peak for summer 2014-15 (and we’re not even in summer yet…)
It’s not even summer yet and we’ve already exceeded the high point of summer 2014-15 with the current hot weather…
Summer 2015-16 in the NEM
Articles posted, relating to summer 2015-16 in the NEM
It wasn’t the horse race that led the large drop in load in NSW coincident with the race
Responding to comments in social media about how “the race that stops the nation” might have contributed to a drop in demand in NSW
If your horse did not come in today – here’s a better chance to win a BBQ (and possibly* a bottle of Grange)
The competition is back, for another summer (with 7+1 prizes on offer). Read through for details…
What role might Demand Response play in a (possible) future grid featuring high levels of intermittency?
Back on 8th October, I spoke at All Energy in Melbourne on this topic. Given the questions posed after the session, it seemed that it might be of value to some WattClarity readers if I narrated over the top of the presentation and included it here, for future reference.
Ramp rates, for “Unserved Demand” much higher in this future world
A quick look at how ramp rates would vary (for “Unserved Consumption”) in the hypothetical “10x” high intermittency grid.