Cumulative Price in VIC drops negative (but *not* the first time ever!) on Thursday 29th August 2024
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the Cumulative Price in Victoria dropped below $0/MWh … but Dan Lee noted not for the first time ever in any region.
Might get close to a new all-time record for wind production late this weekend?
An article from Weatherzone prompts a look (via ez2view) at forecast aggregate Wind Farm Capability in the coming days – we might come close to a new record.
AEMO calls for tenders for supply of RERT (in South Australia) for summer 2024-25
After releasing the 2024 ESOO on Thursday morning 29th August 2024, in the afternoon the AEMO called for tenders for supply of RERT (Reserve Trader) in South Australia for summer 2024-25.
What’s the 2024 ESOO assume, in terms of coal unit performance?
In this article we explore the 2024 ESOO, and linked documents, in terms of what’s assumed for coal unit EFOR – and why, in the light of recent improvements in coal unit performance (compared to 2022).
Once through the ESOO (for 2024)
After an initial skim through the 2024 ESOO, here’s (the start of) a collation of thoughts that it triggers.
AEMO releases 2024 ESOO on Thursday 29th August 2024
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the AEMO released the 2024 ESOO (Electricity Statement of Opportunities) for the NEM. Here’s where to get it, and also links to relevant news media articles that we’ve seen.
Weird & Wacky Winter Weather
With winter having a concerted last blast (or having launched straight into summer in northern Australia) it’s strange times indeed.
Wild winds in TAS drive aggregate instantaneous Wind Farm capacity factor close to 100%
Anthony Sharwood’s article ‘Wild winter winds hit 156 km/h in Tas, 128 km/h on mainland’ prompts me to have a quick look at wind production in Tasmania in recent days.
Are we *still* not building enough replacement Firming Capacity?
In this third excerpt from GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2, we share some perspectives about the amount of Firming Capacity projected to be delivered in net terms, to 2028 (given some withdrawals and some additions).
Jump in mainland System Frequency, coincident with potline trip at Portland smelter
We take a quick look, after (at 00:01 Wednesday 28th August 2024) both potlines at Portland Smelter tripped.
(Update of) long-term trends of (the high points of) Aggregate Scheduled Target
In this second excerpt from GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2, we share (some of) the updated analysis completed of Aggregate Scheduled Target (a metric that points to the requirement for Firming Capacity).
Curtailment (spillage) of Large Solar reaches 2/3 of total resource, on Saturday 24th August 2024
A short record of some large curtailment of Large Solar resource on Saturday 24th August 2024.
Coal-fired unit performance has improved markedly from the ‘dog year’ that was 2022
Following the recent release of the review of 2024 Q2 (and belated release of the review of 2024 Q1) here’s some updated statistics on coal unit performance.
Eraring Unit 3 offline for planned outage … but no more outages planned for Eraring through to 2027 (yet?)
With Eraring unit 3 coming offline on Sunday 25th August 2024 (not long after Eraring unit 1 returned to service) I’ve had a quick look.
AEMO ends ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’
This morning the AEMO revoked its gas supply warning notice that was issued in mid-June.
GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2 released
(Last week) on Thursday 22nd August 2024 we released our ‘GenInsights Quarterly Updates’ detailed review of 2024 Q2, and on Friday we delivered an Executive Briefing to one of our clients.
It could be a high wind yield week ahead in the NEM?
A social media update talking about forecast high wind speeds in the coming week prompts me to check forecast aggregate wind farm production.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn’t changed over the years.
Callide C3 returns to service, a couple days earlier than schedule
After a forced outage lasting almost 4 weeks, Callide C3 came back online Wednesday evening 21st August 2024.
Morning burst of volatility in South Australia (Thursday 22nd August 2024)
A short article with this snapshot to document a morning burst of volatility in South Australia on Thu 22nd Aug 2024.