A quick look at how restrictions in southern NSW meant that Victoria could not export to NSW through the afternoon ... hence contributing to the tight supply-demand situation.
One factor contributing to the tight supply-demand balance is the decline in wind production (and capability) inverse to the rise in 'Market Demand'.
'Market Demand' has ramped back up, leading to an 'Actual LOR2' low reserve condition in NSW on Thu 14th Dec 2023
NSW 'Market Demand' exceeds 13,000MW for the first time today (Thu 14th Dec 2023)
Getting closer to the time of forecast peak in demand, the forecast LOR2 is revised downwards.
A strange coincidence with the AEMO 'intending to commence' negotiations about Reserve Trader for NSW - for this afternoon/evening.
A short post to note that the AEMO have published a market notice stating an intention to commence RERT negotiations in NSW.
A quick update into Thursday afternoon with forecast for this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023 in NSW
A quick look at Semi-Scheduled Wind UIGF forecasts for this evening, where tight supply-demand is expected in NSW.
A late morning update on forecast conditions for NSW this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023
An updated view of the forecast for a tight supply-demand balance for tomorrow (Thu 14th Dec 2023) in NSW.
Two AEMO market notices late this morning suggest that NSW and QLD are in for tight supply-demand later this week, with an LOR2 condition currently forecast in the...
The NEM-wide demand peaked (just!) above 30GW on Friday afternoon/evening 8th December 2023.
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available...
A bout of severe weather for many parts of south-eastern Australia brought challenging weather conditions which appear to have impacted variable renewable energy forecasts for the NEM. The...
Following the release of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3 we've chosen to share here one of the clear challenges for large-scale VRE that is emerging (particularly in...
Thunderstorms impacted parts of South Australia electricity system in the early hours of Tuesday morning, with two syncons tripping and around 30,000 customers experiencing outages.
The first part of a Case Study looking at a large 5-minute ramp in 'Aggregate Scheduled Target' in the middle of the day (an unusual time) on Friday...
A quick note about a forecast by AEMO of shortfall in system strength in NSW region for Tuesday 14th November 2023.
A quick record of Sun 12th Nov 2023, with 'minimum demand' dropping further in Victoria