It was a little over 38 hours ago that that we published ‘Forecast for coincident MSL2 on Thursday 1st January 2026 (in Victoria and South Australia)’. So we take an updated look at forecast...
As calendar 2025 draws to a close I thought it might also be of interest to trend 16 years of spot LGC price data.
Also worth pointing readers here to the 27-page presentation delivered on 5th November 2025 by ASL following modelling of possible evolution of ‘Resilience to Variable Renewable Energy Lulls’ into the future in a climate...
On Thursday 11th December 2025 the Net Zero Australia collaborative organisation released its latest publication, being this ‘Topical Report #2 Australia’s Progress to Net Zero by 2050’:
This article (at least in part) is because of AEMO’s Market Notices today of ‘forecast MSL2’ for both Victoria and South Australia looking forward to Thursday 1st January 2026.
With respect to today (Friday 26th December 2025) we’ll just leave you with this NEMwatch snapshot at 12:25 (NEM time)
A quick look at the directions to Blyth BESS as part of managing Actual MSL1 and Actual MSL2 in South Australia on Thursday 25th December 2025.
Another thing that happened Christmas Day 2025 was the initial output from Vales Point 5, which has been offline since August 2025 following ‘turbine vibrations’. But its return to service has not been smooth.
Cool and clear conditions in the south of the NEM sees new 'lowest ever' points for Market Demand established in both VIC and SA on Thursday 25th December 2025.
It’s Wednesday 23rd December 2025, and Brisbanites have sweated through a night that saw the overnight *minimum* 'Market Demand' be the highest ever.
It’s Monday 22nd December 2025 and the Federal Government has released it’s much-awaited Gas Market Review report.
It seemed that it might be worth documenting a +460MW jump in ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Saturday afternoon to 13:10 (NEM time) on 20th December 2025.
Another short article about (what looks to be) another period of VRE-induced frequency weakness, this one on Sunday afternoon 21st December 2025.
The minimum reserve available is projected to be 664 MW between 16:00 and 17:00.
At 14:55 we note the temperature’s dropped markedly in and around Sydney, and the demand growth has abated as well…
At 13:45 (NEM time) on Friday 19th December 2025 we see the NSW demand climbing higher and more quickly than forecasts ... how high will it go?
Wondering if unforeseen cloud cover might have been a trigger for the steep rise in 'Market Demand' at lunchtime Friday 19th December 2025.
A quick snapshot from NEMwatch at 12:30 (NEM time) on Friday 19th December 2025, to mark an earlier-than-forecast arrival of prices above $1,000/MWh.
A quick note with a snapshot from NEMwatch at 10:55 (NEM time) on Friday 19th December 2025 to record some elevated prices that we’ve seen already this morning.
A short note to highlight the ‘N>MPWW_94T_71’ constraint equation, which is violating in the 09:55 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Friday 19th December 2025.