Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 29th, 30th and 31st January 2019
Winding back the clock to summer 2018-19 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 29th, 30th and Thu 31st Jan 2019.
Read MoreSummer 2018-19 in the NEM
A collection of articles written during (or about) events we see occurring through summer 2018-19 in the NEM
Case Study of 15:40 on Monday 4th February 2019 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +308MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This 16th Case Study in a series covers the first ‘extreme event’ into 2019 where there was an aggregate under-performance (compared to Target) across all Semi-Scheduled plant totaling greater than 300MW.
Case Study of 16:05 on Wednesday 19th December 2018 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +309MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This is the 13th Case Study in this series (looking at each of 98 extreme incidents). Note I have skipped 2 events earlier in 2018 and will come back to publish case studies of them – this one covers the last event in 2018.
A (Much) Deeper Dive into Friday March 1 2019
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, drills into considerable depth to understand, and clearly explain, some of what happened during a volatile period in the VIC and SA regions on Friday 1st March 2019
It’s heating up, in Victoria and South Australia for Friday 1st March
An AEMO Market Notice about “Generator Recall” for Friday’s forecast hot weather in South Australia and Victoria prompts a quick look at what’s changed in the forecast that would prompt this action.
Factors contributing to an unforeseen price spike in NSW at 16:15 on Thursday 31st January 2019
Taking a brief (well, actually longer than intended) look into the various factors that delivered a price spike above $10,000/MWh on Thursday 31st January in NSW – and thinking through the implications for one particular Demand Response client, and for the broader market.
New all-time record for electricity demand in Queensland on Wednesday 13th February 2019
The Queensland region of the NEM saw a new all-time record for peak electricity demand today (Wed 13th February 2019) by several different measures. A bit later in the evening we take a brief look at a few different factors.
Looks set for a peak demand in QLD on Wednesday up near the all-time maximum
Currently (as at Monday morning 11th February) AEMO forecasts indicate that Queensland electricity demand on Wednesday afternoon will come very close to an all-time record.
Two points about the high demand & prices, and the load shedding, on Friday 25th January 2019
Two quick notes about what happened in Victoria on Friday 25th January 2019 following conversations with a number of people.
The north Queensland deluge cuts solar production
A quick look at the effect that the monsoonal rains in northern Queensland are having on several power generation options in northern Queensland.
Looking backwards over the past 2 weeks in the NEM
Back at work this week and (with curiosity getting the better of me) I have another look at what happened last Thursday and Friday in the South Australian and Victorian regions of the NEM.
My first look at the highs, and lows, in Victoria and South Australia on Thursday 24th January 2019
A first look at some of the action seen in the southern parts of the NEM on Thursday 24th January 2019 as a result of the latest crazy heatwave that has afflicted central Australia – particularly affecting electricity supply and demand in South Australia and Victoria
AEMO dispatches Reserve Trader on Thursday 24th January as IRPM in VIC and SA plunges
A short post, prior to further analysis next week, to notify readers that Reserve Trader has been dispatched today.
NEM Scheduled Demand tops 33,000MW and prices spike in the south on Tuesday 22nd January
Some snapshots from NEMwatch recording a day where NEM-wide demand breached 33,000MW and prices spiked above $1000/MWh in VIC and SA
First scorching summer day for the year and the sky rocketing price of electricity.
The first day of scorching summer temperatures for the year has been matched with elevated electricity prices in New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia for most of the day. Queensland and Tasmania experienced small patches of high prices yet…
A potentially extreme temperature forecast for Adelaide and Melbourne next week…
Following AEMO’s warnings issued yesterday about possible extreme heat next week in Adelaide, Melbourne and Sydney, I take more of a look at what might transpire and compare it to historical correlations between cities.
Hot weather forecast to drive demand past 31,000MW next Tuesday 15th January
With high temperatures forecast to return to the NEM next week, we take a quick look at the AEMO’s demand forecast.
NEM Summer Outlook 2018/19 – what is AEMO saying?
Following on from Paul’s article on Queensland, this post examines the summer outlook for the other mainland NEM regions, drawing from some key AEMO publications and datasources, namely: the Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) published in August this year AEMO’s Summer…
High temperatures (and high demand) forecast for QLD this Friday
A quick look at AEMO’s current forecasts for Friday (prompted by a few conversations externally)…
Dispatch Price spikes above $12,000/MWh in VIC and SA today
Two quick snapshots of a high priced day in Victoria and South Australia – with the price jumping above $12,000/MWh at 15:50