To assist readers in our ongoing review of possible high-temperature (or other) effects on Wind Farm output in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024, here’s a map we’ve put together to help indicate the location of each of the Semi-Scheduled wind farms.
A short article to record the incidence of the ‘Actual MSL1’ event for the VIC region, which AEMO noted in MN122399 at 11:16 on Sunday 22nd December 2024
Worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2- level alert for the coming Sunday 22nd December 2024.
Weatherzone’s Ant Sharwood shares insights into yesterday’s extreme temperatures in Victoria.
Monday 16th December 2024 was an interesting day in the NEM for a number of reasons. So we’ll use the ‘Bids & Offers’ widget in ez2view to do this quick initial review and then, depending what we see, determine whether we want to invest further time to delve deeper…
Third article already this morning looking ahead to what’s forecast for Monday 16th December 2024 … longer duration (and deeper) LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW + also LOR2 in Victoria.
On Tuesday morning 19th November 2024 the AEMO MN120612 warns of forecast Low Reserve Conditions for summer 2024-25 in both NSW and Victoria.
On Friday morning 15th November 2024 we see the return to service of both YWPS1 and LYA2 – coincident with the cancellation of Victorian directions for System Strength.
On Thursday morning 14th November 2024, the AEMO has directed 4 different units to operate, to cover a potential system strength shortfall in the Victorian region.
At 08:53 on Monday morning 4th November 2024, AEMO published MN119852 looking forwards to this coming Sunday 10th November 2024 and a (first ever?) forecast MSL2 condition for Victoria.
I’m not sure we’ve ever had an Actual MSL1 event before, so worth a quick note referencing Market Notice MN119760 published at 11:49 noting an Actual MSL1 in Victoria.
With the AEMO’s overview of its Minimum System Load ‘hot off the press’ on Friday 1st Nov 2024 – there’s forecasts for MSL1 on Sat 2nd, Sun 3rd and Tue 5th Nov 2024.
The AEMO’s publication today (Fri 1st Nov 2024) of their ‘Victorian Minimum System Load Procedure Overview’ 3-page PDF document will be well received.
AEMO’s broadcast today of an MSL1 alert for a weekday next week (albeit Melbourne Cup) is notable
At 09:01 (NEM time) on Saturday 26th October 2024 the AEMO has published MN119423 to update their forecast for MSL1 today in Victoria
At 14:52 on Thursday 24th October the AEMO published MN119315 warning of forecast MSL1 on Sunday 27th October 2024.
AEMO has published MN119194 on Tuesday afternoon 22nd October 2024 at 15:13 about forecast MSL1 for Victoria on Saturday 26th October 2024.
At 12:53 on Saturday 12th Oct 2024 AEMO published MN118817 cancelling the MSL1 warning for Victoria.
At 06:19 this morning (Saturday 12th October 2024) the AEMO published Market Notice 118803 re-instating the warning for forecast Minimum System Load (at MSL1) in Victoria.
With AEMO forecasting possible ‘Minimum System Load’ in Victoria for the coming weekend, we take a look back at (our understanding of) some of what happened on Saturday 27th Sept and Sunday 28th Sept 2024, when similar conditions were forecast.