Forecast Minimum System Load for Victoria next Saturday 25th October 2025
A short note to flag MN129813 looking forward to next Saturday 25th October 2025, flagging possible MSL1 in Victoria.
Victoria
Cold weather drives electricity ‘Market Demand’ higher (and higher than AEMO’s earlier forecasts)
I thought it would be worth adding a couple snapshots from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view looking at ‘Market Demand’ as at various dispatch intervals on Thursday 26th June 2025 looking backwards ~7...
What’s all this, then, about Gas-Powered Generation in Victoria in the past week
Over the past week (and particularly Wednesday 11th June 2025 and Thursday 12th June 2025) gas-power generation ran strongly in Victoria. So we take a quick look at the historical context.
‘Market Demand’ jumps by 404MW on Wednesday morning 7th May 2025
Another short article to record this 404MW jump in ‘Market Demand’ in the Victorian region from the 07:50 to 07:55 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Wednesday 7th May 2025.
Mainland system frequency on April 10, 2025, associated with VIC transmission outage
High speed frequency measurements provide a deeper understanding of how the system responded to the unplanned 500kV line outage.
AEMO Market Notice 126464 confirms trip transmission (linked to the APD smelter)
Second article about the large drop in demand in Victoria observed on Thursday morning 10th April 2025.
582MW (instantaneous?) drop in ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria delivers large System Frequency spike – Thursday 10th April 2025
Noting a large 582MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria this morning (Thu 10th April 2025) – as captured in this ‘Notification’ alert in ez2view at 08:31 (NEM time).
‘Market Demand’ in Victoria reaches 9,433MW (thus far) on Sunday 2nd February 2025
Worth a short note with this NEMwatch snapshot highlighting that the Victorian ‘Market Demand’ has reached 9,433MW this afternoon at the 17:35 dispatch interval already on Sunday 2nd February 2025
Monday 3rd February could be a big day, in terms of ‘Market Demand’ across the NEM (and in Victoria)
Here's an updated view of AEMO's forecasts for 'Market Demand' across the NEM (and Victoria) for Mon 3rd Feb and Tue 4th Feb 2025 - from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view at the...
A trend of daily peak Victoria ‘Market Demand’– from 1st January 2008 to 1st February 2025
With respect to forecasts for peak Victorian ‘Market Demand’ in summer 2024-25 (and particularly with expectations of Monday 3rd and Tuesday 4th February) we fielded a few questions about how extreme that might be....
Victoria sees new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ (and Actual MSL1) on Wednesday 1st January 2025
On Wednesday 1st January 2025 (New Year's Day), Victoria saw both a new 'lowest ever*' point for 'Market Demand' and Actual MSL1.
Where are those Semi-Scheduled Wind Farms in Victoria that were reviewed w.r.t. Monday 16th December 2024
To assist readers in our ongoing review of possible high-temperature (or other) effects on Wind Farm output in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024, here’s a map we’ve put together to help indicate the...
Low ‘Market Demand’ … and Actual MSL1 … in Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
A short article to record the incidence of the ‘Actual MSL1’ event for the VIC region, which AEMO noted in MN122399 at 11:16 on Sunday 22nd December 2024
AEMO forecasts a (second ever?) MSL2-level ‘Minimum System Load’ for Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
Worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2- level alert for the coming Sunday 22nd December 2024.
Victoria soared to 47°C yesterday, for first time since Black Summer
Weatherzone's Ant Sharwood shares insights into yesterday's extreme temperatures in Victoria.
A quick initial review of bids, for Monday 16th December 2024
Monday 16th December 2024 was an interesting day in the NEM for a number of reasons. So we’ll use the ‘Bids & Offers’ widget in ez2view to do this quick initial review and then,...
Updated forecast LOR3 (a.k.a. load shedding) in NSW for Monday 16th December 2024 grows wider and deeper … and some concern in VIC
Third article already this morning looking ahead to what’s forecast for Monday 16th December 2024 ... longer duration (and deeper) LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW + also LOR2 in Victoria.
AEMO MT PASA update on 19th November 2024 notes Low Reserve Conditions for NSW and Victoria for summer 2024-25
On Tuesday morning 19th November 2024 the AEMO MN120612 warns of forecast Low Reserve Conditions for summer 2024-25 in both NSW and Victoria.
With YWPS1 and LYA2 back online, Victorian directions for System Strength cancelled
On Friday morning 15th November 2024 we see the return to service of both YWPS1 and LYA2 - coincident with the cancellation of Victorian directions for System Strength.
AEMO directs 4 units on in Victoria, to cover System Strength shortfall
On Thursday morning 14th November 2024, the AEMO has directed 4 different units to operate, to cover a potential system strength shortfall in the Victorian region.