Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 29th, 30th and 31st January 2019
Winding back the clock to summer 2018-19 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 29th, 30th and Thu 31st Jan 2019.
NSW
Derivation of Underlying Demand in NSW on 30th and 31st January and 1st February 2020
Winding back the clock to summer 2019-20 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand on Thu 30th Jan, Fri 31st Jan and Sat 1st Feb 2020.
So where does NSW peak demand on Thu 29th Feb 2024 sit in historical context?
Putting the high demand seen in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024 in historical context.
So how much did Eraring Power Station supply, of the NSW electricity consumption, at peak demand time on Thursday 29th February 2024?
Last article (on the day) about Thu 29th Feb 2024. Prompted by an AFR article just over 24 hours ago, how large was the contribution of Eraring Power Station to the NSW electricity region today?
NSW ‘Underlying Demand’ peaks at 15,100MW at 15:00 (NEM time) on Thu 29th Feb 2024
Pulling together an estimate for ‘Underlying Demand’ in NSW for Thursday 29th February 2024, it was very big – and occurred earlier than the peak in ‘Market Demand’, and is measured in different ways by different people.
NSW ‘Market Demand’ peaks at 13764MW
At 16:35 on Thu 29th Feb 2024 the NSW demand peaked at its highest point in summer 2023-24.
‘Market Demand’ in NSW above 13,000MW in mid afternoon Thu 29th Feb 2024
A mid-afternoon update about NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
The forecast LOR2 is gone, but forecasts for spicy prices remain for NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024
It’s early afternoon so here’s a quick look at forecasts for NSW on Thursday evening 29th Feb 2024.
Still a forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024, but not as severe as earlier forecasts
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
The forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024 grows more extreme…
AEMO updated forecasts for LOR2 in NSW (and now QLD) for Thursday 29th Feb 2024 are now more severe than the earlier forecasts.
Stubborn forecasts for LOR2 (low reserve condition) for NSW for Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
Volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024
A short record of evening volatility in Queensland and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024.
Thursday 29th February 2024 could be a (relatively) high demand day in NSW
A quick look forward (from Sun 25th Feb) towards Thursday 29th Feb 2024 in NSW
Demand climbing in NSW and QLD on Friday afternoon 23rd February 2024
Demand is climbing in both NSW and QLD regions on Friday afternoon 23rd February, off the back of hot weather.
System Strength considerations for NSW via Market Notices … a low point reached in 2023 Q4
AEMO points to the TransGrid document from Wed 14th Feb 2024 ‘NSW Synchronous Generation – interim advice for System Normal requirement’.
Brief recap of NSW on Monday 5th February 2024
A brief review of what unfolded in NSW on Monday evening 5th February 2024.
Expectations for high demand in NSW this (hot) evening – Monday 5th February 2024
A short early-afternoon article about expectations for NSW on Monday 5th February 2024.
Forecast NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ at ~32,250MW on Sunday 4th February 2024
A second article looking ahead to (forecasts about) Sunday 4th February 2024 … where NEM-wide demand might reach the highest point in summer 2023-24 to date.
Evening volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday 28th January 2024
A short record of a burst of volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday evening 28th January 2024.
AEMO’s forecasts for higher ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday evening 25th January 2024 don’t materialise
A quick look-back on the what was forecast, and what actually happened, for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday 25th Jan 2024.