Stockyard Hill Wind Farm briefly off again, on Thu 22nd February 2024 (constraints a factor)
Stockyard Hill Wind Farm, along with some other large wind farms, is constrained off in Victoria on Thursday 22nd February 2024.
Macarthur Wind Farm
Bigger or better: Are newer wind farms outperforming older ones?
Dan Lee looks at twenty years of capacity factors for wind farms to see if they are improving in line with recent discussion and long-term modelling assumptions.
Case Study of 16:55 on Monday 8th April 2019 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +318MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This 20th Case Study (the other side of the weekend to the 19th Case Study) in the series investigates one dispatch interval showing extreme Aggregate Under-Performance across all Semi-Scheduled units on Monday 8th April 2019.
Case Study of 12:20 on Wednesday 6th March 2019 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +329MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
A quick look at this dispatch interval – as the 17th Case Study in the series looking at extreme results for Aggregate Raw Off-Target for all Semi-Scheduled DUIDs.
Case Study of 5 Events (between 11:00 to 15:00) on Wednesday 7th November 2018 … where aggregate Raw Off-Target was above 300MW for Semi-Scheduled units
This 15th Case Study is longer than the earlier 14 as it deals with 4 discrete instances of extreme level of collective under-performance, and 1 instance of over-performance, all within a 4-hour timeframe on the same day. A day which appears to have had widespread weather activity affecting the output of BOTH Wind and Solar across 3 Regions. A challenging day!
Case Study of 16:05 on Friday 28th September 2018 (aggregate Raw Off-Target–333MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This is the 12th Case Study in this series (looking at each of 98 extreme incidents). This one is simpler than the 11th Case Study!
Case Study of 02:35 on Saturday 15th September 2018 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +355MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This is the 11th Case Study in a series (looking at extreme outcomes of Aggregate Raw Off-Target for Semi-Sched units). We’ve rolled into 2018, now and (coincidence?) this one is much more complex than the first 10 from the earlier years …
Case Study of 22:40 on Monday 18th December 2017 (aggregate Raw Off-Target -310MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This is the 10th Case Study in a series working through 98 discrete dispatch intervals of extreme Aggregate Raw Off-Target for Semi-Scheduled events. This Case Study looks at only 1 of 5 occasions of extreme collective OVER-performance.
Case Study of 19:25 on Thursday 5th October 2017 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +305MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This 9th case study in this series advances us into October 2017, where we see another example of an extreme outcome for collective under-performance. Most notably this happens across 5 Wind Farms (with one unit completely tripping).
Case Study of 13:10 on Thursday 23rd June 2016 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +320MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This 7th case study in a series takes a look at 1 of 3 dispatch intervals during 2016 that saw extreme under-performance (in aggregate) across all Semi-Scheduled plant.
Case Study of 04:30 on Thursday 8th January 2015 (aggregate Raw Off-Target -314MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
This 6th case study in a series takes a look at only 1 of 5 Dispatch Intervals featuring over-performance in a total of 98 that saw extreme Aggregate Raw Off-Target performance across all Semi-Scheduled plant (rare over-performance and more common under-performance).
Case Study of 03:10 on Saturday 28th September 2013 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +331MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
Third case study today – and last one looking back at 2013. This one is a bit more complex than the first two.
Case Study of 12:35 on Wednesday 14th August 2013 (aggregate Raw Off-Target +391MW for Semi-Scheduled units)
Like was the case on 4th July 2013, the cause of this large Aggregate Raw Off-Target result (across all Semi-Scheduled Generators) was a single unit trip.
Case Study of 14:55 on Thursday 4th July 2013 (>300MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target across all Semi-Scheduled Units)
Does not take long to see why this particular dispatch interval was one of the few dispatch intervals (before 2019!) flagged in our top-down analysis of aggregate Raw Off-Target across all Semi-Scheduled units in the NEM….
Reasonably widespread deviations delivers highest ‘aggregate Raw Off-Target’ for the 2019 year for ‘all Wind’
This is the 3rd of 4 Case Studies to follow on from the main article (summarising results across 105,120 dispatch intervals through 2019 for ‘all Coal’ and ‘all Wind’ groupings). In this case, let’s look at the ‘worst’ case, in aggregate, where wind units under-performed compared to dispatch targets.
Four units trip in Victoria on Easter Saturday
A quick look at Saturday 11th April (Easter Saturday) where there were major reductions in output at 4 units across Victoria – 3 coal units in the Latrobe Valley and the Macarthur Wind Farm out in western Victoria, probably related.
13 headline questions and observations following the long-term islanding, starting Friday 31st January 2020
In order to help us (internally) map out all the different threads to explore in terms of what happened on Friday 31st January 2020 on a remarkable day in the NEM, I’ve identified a few of the key threads here over the weekend. More articles to follow as time permits….
Review of extremes in ‘Raw Off Target’ performance through 2019, with the Generator Statistical Digest 2019
Using the (hot off the press) Generator Statistical Digest 2019, we take a look across all 304 DUIDs to see how they performed through calendar 2019 in terms of large excesses in ‘Raw Off-Target’ in both directions. These results suggests implications for the future…
Selected initial observations from the Generator Statistical Digest 2019
Guest author, David Leitch, in his first article here on WattClarity, walks through some of what first jumps out to him in his initial review of the Generator Statistical Digest 2019.
Off-Target #3 = Forecasting Output Difficult – Macarthur WF on 11th August 2018
One example of where forecasting wind output seemed to be more difficult than we would hope it could be. Something to be further explored in the Generator Report Card.