Tight supply/demand forecast for NSW on Thursday 10th June 2021
A quick note on Tuesday evening, looking ahead to Thursday (10th June) with AEMO forecasting LOR2 in NSW with the cold snap, and enquiring about Generator Recall.
LOR2
Hold onto your hats … QLD’s supply demand balance forecast to be very tight in the hours ahead … Tue 25th May 2021 (Part 2)
Looks set to be a very tight supply/demand balance this evening in Queensland. Here’s hoping everything goes right for the AEMO Control Room!
Surprise LOR2 (Low Reserve Condition) forecast for QLD next Monday afternoon, 30th November 2020
Prompted by an SMS alert this evening, we take a look at the tight supply/demand balance currently forecast for the QLD region on Monday afternoon next week (30th Nov 2020).
Four headline challenges amongst a very busy summer 2019-20
My participation in yesterday’s session about ‘Energy Technology – performing under (heat) stress’, organised by the Australian Institute of Energy, was an opportunity to reflect on what I saw as the Four Headline Events that gave example to a great many challenges we will have to grapple with as this energy (and climate) transition gathers pace.
13 headline questions and observations following the long-term islanding, starting Friday 31st January 2020
In order to help us (internally) map out all the different threads to explore in terms of what happened on Friday 31st January 2020 on a remarkable day in the NEM, I’ve identified a few of the key threads here over the weekend. More articles to follow as time permits….
Out of the blue, another LOR2 – NSW region on Saturday 1st February 2020
With the benefit of more data available today, can piece together why there was the sudden drop into LOR2 territory on Saturday 1st February 2020 (something that alarmed me, and resulted in AEMO directing a participant to make capacity – just withdrawn – available again).
A further look at Thursday Jan 30th
Guest author, Allan O’Neil does a masterful job with limited time in reviewing some of the goings-on in the NEM (particularly VIC and SA) on Thursday 30th January 2020
Thursday 30th January 2020 sees demand reach 34,257MW and LOR2 notice issued for both VIC and SA
A brief overview of a stressful afternoon/evening in the NEM, where a confluence of events (heatwave-driven high demand, low wind, coal unit trip, etc…) drive LOR2 low reserve condition notice in both VIC and SA, and gear AEMO up to call on Reserve Trader (yet again!)
Factors contributing to events in NSW on Thursday 23rd January 2020 – taking a closer look…
Today I managed to get about half-way (only!) through some analysis I wanted to do to ‘scratch that itch’ about what happened in the NSW Region on Thursday 23rd January – with LOR2 conditions necessitating RERT (Reserve Trader) in the NSW Region.
Shaky afternoon ahead for the NSW Region of the NEM (as at 12:05 on Thu 23rd Jan 2020)
Not looking crash hot for the NSW region this afternoon…
More details on the bushfire-driven extremes in the NSW Region of the NEM on Saturday 4th January
All I have time to do today, looking into more detail of what happened today …. but note that the challenge is still unfolding.
Another LOR2 (and RERT Negotiations), out of the blue…
A quick article with the unfolding situation this afternoon in Victoria – tight supply/demand balance, price spike to the Market Price Cap, and RERT negotiations ….
Sweating on the return of Loy Yang A Unit 2
Taking a quick look at what’s forecast for the Victorian region tomorrow, with LOR2-level Low Reserve Condition forecast.
Hot weather in Queensland to drive Electricity Demand high this week (and warning of LOR2 Low Reserve Condition)
Temperature forecasts are for hot weather in Queensland early this week – which means AEMO is forecasting high demand in the QLD region. With this, they are alerting on a forecast LOR2 Low Reserve Condition warning. We take a look…
AEMO issues LOR2 warning for South Australia for next Thursday, 31st May
Yesterday (Thu 24th May) AEMO issued a Low Reserve Condition notice (at LOR2 level) for South Australia next Thursday 31st May. We take a quick look….
Another day, another “Actual LOR2” Notice for South Australia
Another LOR2 Market Notice issued for South Australia