NEM-wide demand on Monday 16th December forecast to be highest in almost 4 years
As at 13:45 on Friday 13th December, the peak demand (measured as ‘Market Demand’ ) forecast for Monday is 33,718MW in the half-hour ending 18:00 (NEM time). In...
forecast tight supply-demand balance
Friday morning forecasts for load shedding (i.e. LOR3) in NSW on Monday 16th and Tuesday 17th December grow more extreme
We'll explore 'what's changed?' more in subsequent articles - but in this article just want to flag the Market Notice updates around 05:00 (NEM time) this morning with...
Surely not again so soon?! …. AEMO forecasts LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) for NSW on Monday 16th December 2024
"Surely not again so soon!?" ... was my first response at reading MN121734 published at 00:42 (NEM time) on Thursday 12th December 2024, forecasting LOR3 (a.k.a. load shedding)...
Spicy prices forecast in NSW (and LOR2) … with ‘N-CTMN_4_WG_CLOSE’ constraint set now invoked again
A short note for Tuesday morning 3rd December 2024 to highlight the emergence of forecast LOR2 conditions (and spicy prices) in NSW for later today
Forecast load shedding (i.e. LOR3) in NSW on Wednesday 27th November 2024 above 1,700 but now easing?
The outlook for load shedding in NSW on the 27th of November 2024 remains a possibility, yet recent STPASA runs indicate some movement in a positive direction is...
An updated view of outage plans for Scheduled units above 200MW in NSW and QLD
Given the tight supply-demand balance forecast for NSW and QLD this week, it’s worth revisiting the ‘Generator Outages’ widget in ez2view at 15:35 on Sunday 24th November 2024...
Northern NEM capacity outlook next week – a series of unfortunate events
A very quick post to look at one of the several reasons we are seeing LOR3 and LOR2 forecasts for NSW and Queensland respectively next Wednesday (27 November)....
Forecast load shedding (i.e. LOR3) in NSW on Wednesday 27th November 2024 now above 1,000MW
AEMO's MN120879 rates special mention, given the size of largest load shedding forecast for NSW on Wednesday afternoon/evening is above 1,000MW.
AEMO now forecasting possible LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in NSW on Wednesday 27th November 2024
The most recent ST PASA forecast now shows a sliver of forecast LOR3 (i.e. forecast Load Shedding) for the NSW region on Wed 27th Nov 2024
AEMO publishes ‘Request for Generator Recall Information for the period from 25/11/2024 to 26/11/2024 for NSW Region’
Things are not currently* looking rosy for the NSW region early next week ... so it's no surprise to see AEMO asking (on Wednesday morning 20th Nov 2024)...
Updated forecast for LOR3 for Tuesday 26th November 2024 grows more severe
AEMO’s MN120671 forecast LOR3 was published at 15:33 NEM time on Tuesday 19th November 2024 – so it’s worth noting that ~7 hours later, MN120698 was published –...
AEMO MT PASA update on 19th November 2024 notes Low Reserve Conditions for NSW and Victoria for summer 2024-25
On Tuesday morning 19th November 2024 the AEMO MN120612 warns of forecast Low Reserve Conditions for summer 2024-25 in both NSW and Victoria.
Forecast tight supply-demand balance (i.e. LOR2) for QLD and NSW on Thursday evening 7th November 2024
Worth a short note, given the alerts from ez2view have continued to buzz in recent days, as the AEMO continues to update forecast LOR2 warnings for both QLD...
AEMO calls for tenders for supply of RERT (in South Australia) for summer 2024-25
After releasing the 2024 ESOO on Thursday morning 29th August 2024, in the afternoon the AEMO called for tenders for supply of RERT (Reserve Trader) in South Australia...
AEMO releases 2024 ESOO on Thursday 29th August 2024
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the AEMO released the 2024 ESOO (Electricity Statement of Opportunities) for the NEM. Here's where to get it, and also links to relevant...
Will Tasmania see a new all-time maximum demand early next week?
Looking forwards to some tight supply-demand balance (and potentially record-breaking demand) for mornings early next week in Tasmania.
NEM-wide IRPM might be below 15% during evenings the next 3 days… Tue 18th, Wed 19th and Thu 20th June 2024
Following a 90-minute period of low IRPM yesterday evening (Mon 17th June 2024) we take a quick look at see forecast low levels of IRPM for Tue 18th...
AEMO publishes a tender for Interim Reliability Reserves (i.e. Reserve Trader)
Following today's publication of the AEMO has also called for ‘Interim Reliability Reserves’ for summer 2024-25.
Saturday morning wrap of forecast LOR conditions in NSW
Following numerous Market Notices overnight pertaining to Forecast LOR2 (or LOR1) in NSW for a number of coming days, here's a summary on Saturday morning 18th May 2024...
AEMO publishes MN116654 for ‘forecast LOR2’ in NSW for Sunday evening 19th May 2024
Another 'forecast LOR2' notice from AEMO ... this time looking at Sunday evening 19th may 2024.