Worth a short note, given the alerts from ez2view have continued to buzz in recent days, as the AEMO continues to update forecast LOR2 warnings for both QLD and NSW regions for Thursday 7th November 2024.
After releasing the 2024 ESOO on Thursday morning 29th August 2024, in the afternoon the AEMO called for tenders for supply of RERT (Reserve Trader) in South Australia for summer 2024-25.
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the AEMO released the 2024 ESOO (Electricity Statement of Opportunities) for the NEM. Here’s where to get it, and also links to relevant news media articles that we’ve seen.
Looking forwards to some tight supply-demand balance (and potentially record-breaking demand) for mornings early next week in Tasmania.
Following a 90-minute period of low IRPM yesterday evening (Mon 17th June 2024) we take a quick look at see forecast low levels of IRPM for Tue 18th June evening (very low!) and Wed 19th June and Thu 20th June.
Following today’s publication of the AEMO has also called for ‘Interim Reliability Reserves’ for summer 2024-25.
Following numerous Market Notices overnight pertaining to Forecast LOR2 (or LOR1) in NSW for a number of coming days, here’s a summary on Saturday morning 18th May 2024 using ‘Forecast Convergence’ from ez2view.
Another ‘forecast LOR2’ notice from AEMO … this time looking at Sunday evening 19th may 2024.
On Thursday 21st March 2024, the AEMO released the Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) for 2024 – warning of potential gas supply shortfalls as early as Winter 2025.
It’s early afternoon so here’s a quick look at forecasts for NSW on Thursday evening 29th Feb 2024.
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
AEMO updated forecasts for LOR2 in NSW (and now QLD) for Thursday 29th Feb 2024 are now more severe than the earlier forecasts.
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
An update from ~14:30 Monday 22nd Jan 2024 looking ahead to this evening in QLD.
Mon 22nd Jan at 10:22 the AEMO has informed the market of possible LOR2 low reserve condition in QLD.
This morning (in the article ‘Looking forward, to Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland’) I wrote about the forecast LOR2 condition that the AEMO was warning about at the time – looking ahead to Monday 22nd January 2024. (A) …
A short summation of where demand landed in QLD on Thursday evening 18th January 2024.
A second article looking at forecast tight supply-demand balance in Queensland on Thursday 18th Jan 2024.
A strange coincidence with the AEMO ‘intending to commence’ negotiations about Reserve Trader for NSW – for this afternoon/evening.
A quick update into Thursday afternoon with forecast for this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023 in NSW