With the closure of Hazelwood looming, hedge contract prices climb skywards
Ominous signs for spot price outcomes through Q2 2016 in Victoria, as hedge contract prices climb prior to the imminent closure of Hazelwood.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
[UPDATED] AEMO Market Notice on “High Impact Outage” for tomorrow – and possible effect in South Australia
AEMO issues a Market Notice for a "High Impact Outage" - a term not used since 2012.
Collective skittishness about South Australia?
With high temperatures forecast for SA (hence higher demand) coinciding with low wind, social media references to "blackout" increase. Is this helpful?
Autumn 2017 in the NEM
Collection of articles written for Autumn 2017
EnerNOC seems to have grossly under-represented the amount of Demand Response active in the NEM
The level of Demand Response currently active in Australia's National Electricity Market is higher than some are estimating.
Question – in an interconnected electricity system (and market), when did it become acceptable to neglect a systems view?
Because of (technical and commercial) interconnectedness in the National Electricity Market, the possibility of unintended consequences should be kept in mind
Analytical Challenge – keeping an open mind to positions expressed by a broad range of people
"Incumbency" seems to have become a pejorative in the NEM
Interesting take, by battery maker Sonnen, on the “free energy” business model
Some brief thoughts on one innovative business model being introduced to the NEM incorporating batteries, demand response, and free energy
[4th Post] Large and rapid demand drop curtails demand bid for new record in Queensland
Final post for the day - a high demand level achieved, but not an all-time record.
[3rd post] The supply/demand situation in Queensland gets tighter
3rd update today as the supply/demand balance tightens, and a transmission outage adds a complexity
[Post 2] Later AEMO forecasts moderate demand forecasts slightly – but still looks to be massive
Demand forecast down slightly on this morning, but still looking like a record.
[Post 1] Early AEMO forecasts look towards new record electricity demand in Queensland today
AEMO early morning forecast pointing to a new record electricity demand late this afternoon.
[2nd post] Astonishing Queensland electricity demand – on a Sunday!
An astounding day with Queensland electricity demand on a Sunday - a new peak (according to Powerlink) or not quite (on Dispatch Target basis).
[1st post] AEMO forecasts near-record electricity demand in Queensland – late on a Sunday evening!
Looking forward to this evening, and what looks set to be a near all-time record for QLD demand (a remarkable outcome for a Sunday)
About solar panels (predominantly) facing north, not west
To clarify a quotation today in the Fairfax media about solar PV performance on heatwave Friday in NSW.
[Post 2] Demand climbs and smelter readies to close AGAIN
Unwanted demand response in NSW approaches, for the 2nd day in a row with scorching temperatures driving demand higher.
[Post 1] Not out of the woods yet in NSW on a super-hot Saturday
First (and perhaps only?) post on a super-hot Saturday in NSW
[4th update] NSW drops under 1,000MW spare capacity
4th update on this white-knuckle day.
[Update 3] NSW Scheduled Demand up past 13,500MW and Reserve Margin drops
Another update, as NSW demand shoots up towards a new all-time record
[2nd update] AEMO forecast for peak NSW demand this afternoon now would be new record
2nd quick note in advance of today's expected new record demand in NSW (and hopefully not load shedding)