A big disconnect between words and actions?
Can you help me understand this apparent (and large) disconnect between words and actions in the GreenPower space?
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Hazelwood closure announcement reflected in MT PASA capacity forecasts
Engie's announced closure of Hazelwood reflected as a big step change reduction in available capacity in Victoria at the end of March 2017.
What would price impacts be, if Hazelwood were to close in March 2017 as rumoured?
In reality, it's impossible to "know" what the price outcomes would be when Hazelwood closes. Here's some reasons why...
Wind speeds and the Blackout of South Australia
Wind speeds up during the blackout of September 28th in South Australia
First shot at trying to understand what went on, leading to the SA blackout of Wednesday 28th September
First attempt to try to piece together events leading up to the blackout in South Australia on Wed 28th September 2016
AEMO announces “Black System” across South Australia at 16:24 on Wednesday 28th September
Power's out across South Australia on the afternoon of Wednesday 28th September
About the looming (potential) closure of Hazelwood power station
Some initial thoughts following articles about the mooted closure of Hazelwood Power Station as early as April 2017.
Spring 2016 in the NEM
Articles about Spring in the NEM – September, October, November 2016
Infigen Energy suffering from “wind correlation penalty” in South Australian wind farms
Some thoughts about the possible uplift to Infigen Energy revenues, stemming from higher forward contract prices in the South Australian region of the NEM
Ararat Wind Farm begins production in Victoria during August
Quick snap of Ararat Wind Farm starting up in August.
Increased complexity, and challenges, in this energy transition
Two slides (from BNEF and AEMO) that provide some context on the energy transition
Another day where LOR2 notice issued for SA – what does it mean?
AEMO issued a Market Notice this morning for an LOR2 "Low Reserve Condition" in South Australia. Here's my sense of some of what's happening.
If I was going to assess Factors Contributing to the “truly remarkable” Q2 2016 prices, here are some starting places I’d look…
A starting list of factors that I'd look further into, if I was sucked into the "rabbit hole" of assessing all of the contributing factors leading to the Remarkable Prices seen in Q2 2016...
The Emotion-o-Meter
A figurative illustration of the broad range of people we're increasingly seeing weighing into the discussion about the future of the energy sector. Itself a challenge for the transition.
A model’s just a model – it’s not reality (though some models might be useful)
Models are simplifications of reality. Some are more precise than others. Some are useful for different purposes.
Note – we see the “Energy Transition” as very broad
Quick note about energy transition
Hornsdale Wind Farm starting up at a time in South Australia when every MWh matters
Recording early days of electricity production at the Hornsdale Wind Farm
Reviewing Q2 prices – short-term excursion, or more systemic change in pricing patterns?
Some initial analysis about the remarkable pricing outcomes seen across all regions of the NEM through Q2 2016
Oakley Greenwood Report ‘Current Status of DR in the NEM’ provided 30th June 2016
The Oakley Greenwood report 'Current Status of DR in the NEM' was completed for the AEMC on 30th June 2016
Exceptional pricing during Q2 in South Australia (but really across all regions) hurting major energy users
Some brief notes about a changed pricing pattern observed in Q2 2016