Another day where LOR2 notice issued for SA – what does it mean?
AEMO issued a Market Notice this morning for an LOR2 "Low Reserve Condition" in South Australia. Here's my sense of some of what's happening.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
If I was going to assess Factors Contributing to the “truly remarkable” Q2 2016 prices, here are some starting places I’d look…
A starting list of factors that I'd look further into, if I was sucked into the "rabbit hole" of assessing all of the contributing factors leading to the Remarkable Prices seen in Q2 2016...
The Emotion-o-Meter
A figurative illustration of the broad range of people we're increasingly seeing weighing into the discussion about the future of the energy sector. Itself a challenge for the transition.
A model’s just a model – it’s not reality (though some models might be useful)
Models are simplifications of reality. Some are more precise than others. Some are useful for different purposes.
Note – we see the “Energy Transition” as very broad
Quick note about energy transition
Hornsdale Wind Farm starting up at a time in South Australia when every MWh matters
Recording early days of electricity production at the Hornsdale Wind Farm
Reviewing Q2 prices – short-term excursion, or more systemic change in pricing patterns?
Some initial analysis about the remarkable pricing outcomes seen across all regions of the NEM through Q2 2016
Exceptional pricing during Q2 in South Australia (but really across all regions) hurting major energy users
Some brief notes about a changed pricing pattern observed in Q2 2016
The opacity of distributed, small-scale solar PV output
A comparison of the output of the two different estimates now available for aggregate state-wide output from small-scale solar PV systems - the ARENA-funded APVI method, and a new method from AEMO
Winter 2016 in the NEM
Articles we write through winter 2016 about what we see happening then
Update on “cost” of Tassie’s energy crisis
Some quick calcs to update a ball-park estimate on the cost of the Tasmanian energy crisis
Brown coal generation ceases in South Australia with the closure of Northern Power Station
A quick post to mark the end of brown-coal fired generation in South Australia, with the closure of Northern Power Station
Quick wrap of the winners of our “best forecaster in the NEM” competition for extended summer 2015-16
Announcing the winners of our 7 related competitions for "best forecaster in the NEM" summer 2015-16
Comparison of spot (i.e. physical) and contract (i.e. financial) for calendar 2015
Over on our Demand-Response focused site, I posted an article yesterday providing a high-level comparison between contract prices for calendar 2015 and final spot prices (for the 4 mainland regions). This was in response...
What happens when energy is free?
One scenario holds that the price of energy supply might drop to the point where it is effectively free. Here's some of what we're thinking about...
Diesel gensets start popping up across Tasmania
The first of the diesel gensets startup in Tasmania, and make their way into the data feed.
Some thoughts on the shaky state of Tassie electricity supply
Recapping what I've learnt (and highlighting some of the things I have yet to learn) about the electricity supply crisis currently facing Tasmania
How small-scale solar PV is helping to moderate peak demand
Quick notes about how solar PV is helping to moderate peak demand (but some considerations relating to using rules of thumb about its effect).
Autumn 2016 in the NEM
A collection of articles focused on what’s happened in Australia’s National Electricity Market through the autumn period (March, April, May) of 2016
Highest electricity demand in NSW so far this summer seen today
NSW experiences its highest electricity demand so far this summer as a result of the hot weather