AEMO forecasts LOR2 Lack of Reserve level for QLD on Tuesday 8th March 2022
After a week offline with the floods, I’m back and took a quick look at a tight supply-demand balance forecast for QLD this Tuesday evening, 8th March 2022.
Articles by Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
Updated (and extended) latency statistics for P5MIN file creation at the AEMO
Following the article on Tuesday 15th February about ‘blow-out in file creation latency’, in this article we update stats for the past week … but also look as far back as late 2018 to see a broader pattern.
Price spike in South Australia on Wednesday 23rd February 2022 – (perhaps) because of sudden drop in output at Bungala Solar Farm?
A price spike in SA on Wednesday 23rd February reminds us of a price spike in NSW on Monday 21st February … one due to coal, the other due to solar … but both illustrating *the same* underlying dynamic.
Price spike in NSW and QLD on Monday 21st February 2022 following trip of Eraring unit 2
As a real time reminder of the energy transition challenges, the trip of Origin’s Eraring unit 2 was a significant driver of the price spike in NSW to $15,100/MWh on Tuesday 21st February 2022.
Market Suspension in South Australia on Friday 18th February 2022
A quick note about the brief Market Suspension in South Australia on Friday afternoon, 18th February 2022.
Some real data for Eraring Power Station (from soon-to-be-released GSD2021)
As a first article on WattClarity following Origin’s ‘Notice of Closure’ announcement about the future of Eraring Power Station, here’s some statistical data (from the upcoming GSD2021) to help with the broader conversation.
NEMDE under strain? Escalation in File Creation times for P5MIN
Over the past 2 weekends in February (in particular) we have noticed AEMO’s file creation time for ‘P5MIN’ files has increased significantly (and this has caused challenges for Participants). We take an updated look.
AEMO published ‘NEM Event – Directions Report 1 February 2022’
A short (and back-dated) article about the AEMO’s publication of their Directions Report for Tuesday 1st February 2022 during QLD’s heatwave.
Summary view of supply-side contributions in QLD during ‘heatwave week’ – particularly Tue 1st Feb 2022 and Wed 2nd Feb 2022
An initial review of some (wholesale) supply-side factors contributing to the extreme price volatility (and Reserve Trader etc) that occurred in the first week of February 2022 in the QLD region of the NEM.
A quick look at the 14:30 price spike today (Wed 2nd Feb 2022)
A very brief look at the first significant price spike in QLD on Tuesday 2nd February 2022.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ at 9,869MW at 14:50 … are we going to reach an all-time record?
QLD demand is climbing closer to an ‘all time maximum’ on Tuesday 2nd February 2022 … but an afternoon storm might cool things off.
Demand forecast ‘warming’ for QLD for Tuesday afternoon 2nd February 2022
A first article on Wednesday 2nd February, looking ahead in the AEMO current forecast to what would be (if the forecast holds) a new record for QLD Region ‘Market Demand’
We dodged a bullet today in QLD (Tue 1st Feb 2022) … but there’s new challenges to confront tomorrow (Wed 2nd Feb 2022)
A quick look back at today (Tue 1st Feb) and look forward at tomorrow (Wed 2nd Feb).
The performance of QLD’s two wind farms through Tuesday 1st February 2022
A quick look at how QLD’s Wind Farms performed today … Tuesday 1st February 2022.
Queensland ‘Q^^NIL_CS’ central-south constraint also a factor, on Tuesday 1st February 2022
A quick look at the ‘Q^^NIL_CS’ constraint equation, which was also active today in QLD and influencing market outcomes.
Only 5 percent IRPM (485MW spare) in the QLD Economic Island!
We’re down to 485MW of spare capacity in the QLD region … at any price. Hold onto your hats!
It’s all happening – Intervention, Directions, Reserve Trader, etc…
Here’s just a couple of the strange things that are going on in the NEM this afternoon … particularly in QLD and NSW
Yo-yo pricing in NSW today, and in QLD
Some ‘interesting’ price outcomes seen today in NSW and QLD.
After a hiatus, Queensland demand starts rocketing back upwards late afternoon Tuesday 1st February 2022
Queensland ‘Market Demand’ is almost at 9,500MW at 16:35 – after retreating temporarily in the early afternoon.
Tarong unit 2 trips on Tuesday afternoon (1st February 2022)
Adding into the tight supply-demand dynamic, the coal-fired unit Tarong unit 2 tripped this afternoon.