Whilst wrapping up the year, it’s also worth pointing readers here to the 27-page presentation deck that was delivered on 5th November 2025 with respect to modelling completed by AusEnergy Services Limited (ASL … i.e. formerly known as AEMO Services) of possible evolution of ‘Resilience to Variable Renewable Energy Lulls’ into the future in a climate changed world:
(I believe) there’s also supposed to be a recording of the presentation on the ASL website somewhere … but I can’t for the life of me find it?
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Theoretically, if a self-forecasting system never offers forecasts for more than 60% of intervals it may perpetually skip the performance assessment and the system could continue for use unsuppressed.
Following the release of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3 we’ve chosen to share here one of the clear challenges for large-scale VRE that is emerging (particularly in 2023 Q3) due to the rise and rise of rooftop PV.
Over many years we’ve invested deeply in analysing the nuanced answer to the question ‘Is VRE Forecastable?’. This article (which has almost been posted many times before) is triggered today by yet one more claim on social media.
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