On Friday 27th September 2024, VIC ‘Market Demand’ dropped as low as 1,878MW

Two days ago we noted that ‘AEMO issues (its 3rd ever) ‘Minimum System Load’ alert for Victoria … for Friday 27th September 2024’.

… at that time, the AEMO had forecast that the demand would drop down to be as low as 1,879MW at 13:30.

So, with most attention on tomorrow, it’s worth a quick recap to note that:

1)  The lowest demand today for VIC was 1,878MW for the 11:35 dispatch interval

(a)  … measuring ‘Market Demand’;

(b)  so considerably above the all-time minimum, discussed earlier.

2)  At the 13:30 dispatch interval, the ‘Market Demand’ was 2,044MW.

(a)  so 165MW above the AEMO forecast two days earlier (i.e. 1,879MW at 13:30).

(b)  though you could also say the AEMO forecast low point was only 1MW off the actual low point … just that the actual low point was ~2 hours earlier than forecast.

 

Here’s a snapshot of NEMwatch at 13:05 showing the broad situation:

2024-09-27-at-13-05-NEMwatch-VIC-1884MW

Not much supply, apart from Brown Coal (2,255MW FinalMW at 11:35) and Rooftop PV (an estimate of 3,123MW at 11:30).   So an element of net export at that time.


About the Author

Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time. As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.

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