A very short 4th article with an updated snapshot from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view at the 13:35 dispatch interval:
As highlighted in the top row (being for the forecast run published for 13:00 NEM time today) we see that:
1) The forecast ‘Market Demand’ in VIC for the period* ending 12:00 on Saturday 28th September 2024 has dropped further, to be 1,352MW;
* is it 30-minute ending, or 5-minute ending … it’s not clear because of Tripwire #2.
2) Which would be (if the forecast holds true) the lowest ever** ‘Market Demand’ for Victoria; and also
** yes, for the pedantic, since NEM start.
3) Below the MSL2 alert level for ‘Minimum System Load’ in Victoria
(a) as flagged in this earlier Market Notice.
(b) so potentially eliciting an AEMO response in some way?
Stay tuned for an updated Market Notice?
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