Forecast ‘Market Demand’ for 12:00 on Saturday 28th Sept 2024 in VIC falls below MSL2 alert level

Posted by Paul McArdle Friday, September 27 2024 Topic: 2024-09-27, 2024-09-28

A very short 4th article with an updated snapshot from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view at the 13:35 dispatch interval:

2024-09-27-at-13-35-ez2view-ForecastConvergence-VICdemand

As highlighted in the top row (being for the forecast run published for 13:00 NEM time today) we see that:

1)  The forecast ‘Market Demand’ in VIC for the period* ending 12:00 on Saturday 28th September 2024 has dropped further, to be 1,352MW;

*  is it 30-minute ending, or 5-minute ending … it’s not clear because of Tripwire #2.

2)  Which would be (if the forecast holds true) the lowest ever** ‘Market Demand’ for Victoria; and also

** yes, for the pedantic, since NEM start.

3)  Below the MSL2 alert level for ‘Minimum System Load’ in Victoria

(a)  as flagged in this earlier Market Notice.

(b)  so potentially eliciting an AEMO response in some way?

 

Stay tuned for an updated Market Notice?

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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