AEMO forecast for LOR2 in NSW on Tuesday 19th December 2023

Given what happened in the market yesterday (Thursday 14th December, in relation to LOR2 in NSW) it’s worth noting a forecast LOR2 in NSW for Tuesday next week, 19th December 2023 – as noted in Market Notice 112371:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 15/12/2023 09:42:01

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Notice ID : 112371
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 15/12/2023
External Reference : STPASA – Update to the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2023

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 112317 has been updated at 0900 hrs 15/12/2023 to the following:

From 1430 hrs to 1600 hrs 19/12/2023.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 730 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 232 MW.

AEMO is seeking a market response.

AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.

AEMO Operations

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Summer 2023-24 might be a long one?


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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