AEMO forecast for LOR2 in NSW on Tuesday 19th December 2023

Given what happened in the market yesterday (Thursday 14th December, in relation to LOR2 in NSW) it’s worth noting a forecast LOR2 in NSW for Tuesday next week, 19th December 2023 – as noted in Market Notice 112371:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 15/12/2023 09:42:01

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Notice ID : 112371
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 15/12/2023
External Reference : STPASA – Update to the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2023

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 112317 has been updated at 0900 hrs 15/12/2023 to the following:

From 1430 hrs to 1600 hrs 19/12/2023.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 730 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 232 MW.

AEMO is seeking a market response.

AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.

AEMO Operations

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Summer 2023-24 might be a long one?