With respect to yesterday’s ‘Notification of Potential Gas Supply Shortfall Event’ and this evening’s tight supply-demand balance in the NEM, worth noting this AEMO tweet at 17:50 this evening:
… which links to this short update on the AEMO website, which says:
‘AEMO update on tight gas supplies in southern states
02/06/2022
1 min
-
- Gas producers in Queensland have responded to shortfalls in the southern states, following AEMO’s activation of the Gas Supply Guarantee mechanism yesterday.
- We’re seeing gas flow at near capacity (98% or 397 terajoules) through the South West Queensland Pipeline, which connects into NSW, VIC and SA.
- Supplies remain tight, with high gas demand driven by heating needs with colder weather and for power generation.
- Administered price caps ($40 gigajoule) will remain in the Sydney and Brisbane short term trading markets until 7 June 2022 at this stage. (Required under the National Gas Rules following the gas retailer of last resort (RoLR) event involving Weston Energy on 24 May 2022).
- Victoria’s gas market (Victorian declared wholesale gas market) also remains capped at $40/GJ after reaching a cumulative high price threshold on 30 May. This will remain capped until the cumulative price falls and remains below the threshold for a day.
- On current availability forecasts, there is sufficient electricity supply to meet forecast demand in the National Electricity Market.
- AEMO continuously updates NEM forecasts as conditions change.
- We continue to work closely with market participants, industry and governments to manage the situation.
ENDS
For more information: AEMO Media I M 0409 382 121 I E media@aemo.com.au’
A stressful time in the AEMO control rooms!
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