A collection of analysis, observations and commentary about what we see (and have time to comment on) in terms of winter 2013 in Australia’s National Electricity Market
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Paul McArdle
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Paul McArdle Wed 19th June 2013
Chilly winter evenings show demand has declined for various reasons – not just solar PV
A cold evening in the NEM, and yet demand can’t make it past 30,000MW – which would have been quite startling 4 or 5 years ago (but not now, as demand has been declining for a number of reasons).
Paul McArdle Mon 13th June 2022
One more factor to consider … wind harvest drops under 1,000MW on Monday evening, NEM wide
Adding to the complexity of a dire supply-demand balance, aggregate production from wind has dropped below 1000MW today.
Paul McArdle Thu 2nd June 2022
First evening price spike above $1,000/MWh – at 16:40 on Thursday evening 2nd June 2022
At 16:40 the price spiked above $1,000/MWh for the first time this evening.
Paul McArdle Thu 26th June 2025
Cold weather drives electricity ‘Market Demand’ higher (and higher than AEMO’s earlier forecasts)
I thought it would be worth adding a couple snapshots from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view looking at ‘Market Demand’ as at various dispatch intervals on Thursday 26th June 2025 looking backwards ~7 days and forwards ~7 days

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