A couple of weeks ago (whilst in the process of accepting entries) we provided an interim update on the entries we had received, at that date, from a wide range of clients (an a few other ring-ins heard about the competition from who-knows-where).
Perhaps spurred on by the additional insights provided in that notice, we received a last-minute frenzy of entries (including quite a few from 2 companies in particular that looked a little like a coordinated attempt on behalf of the whole team of staff to maximise their collective chance of success)!
We applaud the ingenuity of these people – especially with such a fabulous BBQ on the line!
The following image highlights the final range of entries received:
Unlike entries in previous years (where there was a big spread of entries, as noted in the separate articles for summer 2005-06 and summer 2006-07) for summer 2008-09 we’ve seen a very pronounced convergence of “guesstimates” to be in, and around, 32,500MW.
For other purposes, we’ve been having more of a look at historical data across the year and have noted the massive level of peak demand experienced in July 2008. By the same measure as used in this competition (dispatch demand target) the level reached at that time was 34,394MW – which can be clearly seen to be higher than the levels reached in recent summers, and also higher than the consensus estimate for this Summer.