Here’s one reason why the market was blindsided by high average prices in Q2 2021
Here's one big reason why the high outcome for Q2 time-weighted average spot prices were so far away from the (much lower) expectations in all 4 regions at...
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Yallourn unit 4 back online on Friday 2nd July 2021
On Friday evening (2nd July 2021) Yallourn 4 returned to service
Looking back at a Q2 2021 period that’s been anything but boring
Now making it 5 out of the past 6 years, we return to the analysis of electricity (spot and futures) pricing patterns for Q2 periods across the NEM...
Return to service date for Callide C3 now expected Friday 9th July 2021
An updated view of the return to service schedule of Callide C3 and C4 ... along with Yallourn unit 4.
AEMC publishes draft determination on application to lower Registration threshold for Generators
On Thursday last week the AEMC published a Draft Determination in response to an application by AEC to combat one form of 'Villain #8' in relation to Registration...
Yallourn unit 2 restarts on Sunday 27th June
Yallourn now has 3 units back online, with return-to-service (RTS) of Yallourn unit 2 on Sunday 27th June 2021.
Yallourn Unit 3 returns early this afternoon
Unit 3 at Yallourn Power Station came back online early this afternoon. Recent flooding at the power station's adjoining mine has impacted it's fuel supplies in recent weeks.
A Second Serving of the Q2 Elephant
For a second portion of Q2 “elephant eating”, I’ll look in some detail at the dynamics of an early instance of spot price volatility in Queensland, because many...
Callide B2 returns to service late this morning
Callide B2 returned to service this morning after nearly a month of being offline, following the explosion and outage at the station in late May.
Is the predictability of day-ahead demand improving?
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future 'Ahead Market'. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours...
Gas issues and low wind contribute to low NEM-wide IRPM (and volatility) on Monday 21st June 2021
A short article marking (yet) another volatile evening in the NEM in this 'elephant' of a Q2 2021... now with some added challenges for gas-fired generation.
Using ‘MT PASA DUID Availability’ widget in ez2view to compare unit availability with expectations prior to Q2 2021
Following Saturday's review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here's a belated article...
Villain #8 – the ‘Invisible Man’
A few recent developments have prompted this article about Villain no8, a villain initially contemplated prior to my 'forecast of sorts' back at Clean Energy Summit in July...
Eating the NEM’s Q2 Elephant – An Appetizer
An old adage runs that to eat an elephant, it’s best to proceed in small servings. With a very eventful Q2 in the NEM not yet finished, the...
Yallourn unit 3 scheduled return to service on Tuesday 22nd June
After taking a quick look at the Callide units, we've also used ez2view to have a quick look at the Yallourn units to see when they are scheduled...
Return to service slips further, for Callide B2
A quick look this afternoon sees that the return to service for Callide B2 has been delayed a few days since I last looked during the week.
Newport Power Station cranked up heavily – as one commercial response to the Yallourn ‘Energy Emergency’
A series of questions about what's happening at Newport Power Station prompted me to have a quick look...
Potential Tripwire #3 When is a load not a load?
A feature of the upcoming EMMS technical specification that distinguishes demand response units from scheduled loads could impact some users of NEM data, if left unmanaged.
Kogan Creek returns to service on Thursday 17th June 2021
A short note about return to service of Kogan Creek power station early this morning.
Callide C Event Fallout
Carl Daley of EnergyByte examines the ramifications of the Callide Power Station outage and discusses the big losers and winners from the situation.